This paper shows that politicians’ pressure to climb the career ladder increases bank risk exposure in their region. Chinese local politicians are set growth targets in their region that are relative to each…
This paper provides new evidence on the effect of housing wealth on consumption by focusing on the impact of home-equity extraction. We develop a household consumption decision model to illustrate the…
The authors document using the ZEW panel of German stock market forecasters that weak forecasters tend to be overconfident in the sense that they provide extreme forecasts and their confidence intervals are less…
Die Zielgenauigkeit ihrer Maßnahmen ist ein wichtiges Anliegen der Sozialpolitik. In diesem Papier zeigen drei Fallstudien typische Defizite bei der Zielgenauigkeit von Rentenreformen. Die erste…