Melanie Arntz is deputy of ZEW's Research Department “Labour Markets and Human Resources” and Leibniz Professor of Labour Economics at the University of Heidelberg. Her research focusses on the question how changing labour market conditions such as an increasing digitalization of work tasks and the proceeding international division of production processes affects labour markets and individuals. She is also interested in the dynamics of individual labour market careers in response to these phenomena and the impact of regional labour market conditions on these dynamics.
Melanie Arntz is the coordinator of the research area „Digitalisation and International Labour Division“ and has a long record of research projects and research-oriented policy consulting. She is member of the panel on regional theory and regional politics of the German Economic Association and co-editor of the Journal for Labour Market Research.
Melanie Arntz studied geography at the University of Bonn and at the University of Minnesota with a focus on economic geography and regional labour markets. In addition, she studied economics at the undergraduate level at the University of Bonn and finished her doctoral thesis in empirical economics regarding "The Geographic Mobility of Heterogenous Labour in Germany" at TU Darmstadt in 2007.
Selected Publications
Articles in Refereed Journals
Arntz, Melanie, Terry Gregory and Ulrich Zierahn (2017), Revisiting the Risk of Automation, Economics Letters 159, 157-160. Download
Arntz, Melanie, Stephan Dlugosz and Ralf Wilke (2017), The Sorting of Female Careers after First Birth: A Competing Risks Analysis of Maternity Leave Duration, Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics 79(5), 689-716.
Arntz, Melanie, Terry Gregory and Florian Lehmer (2014), Can Regional Employment Disparities Explain the Allocation of Human Capital Across Space?, Regional Studies 48 (10), 1719-1738. Download
Arntz, Melanie, Ralf A. Wilke and Simon M.S. Lo (2014), Bounds analysis of competing risks: a nonparametric evaluation of the effect of unemployment benefits on migration, Empirical Economis 46, 199-228.
Aretz, Bodo, Melanie Arntz and Terry Gregory (2013), The Minimum Wage Affects Them All: Evidence on Employment Spillovers in the Roofing Sector, German Economic Review 14 (3), 282-315. Download
Arntz, Melanie and Ralf Wilke (2012), Weather-related Employment Subsidies as a Remedy for Seasonal Unemployment? Evidence from Germany, LABOUR 26, 266-286.
Aretz, Bodo, Melanie Arntz, Terry Gregory and Christian Rammer (2012), Der Mindestlohn im Dachdeckerhandwerk: Auswirkungen auf Beschäftigung, Arbeitnehmerschutz und Wettbewerb, Journal for Labour Market Research 45 (3), 233-256. Download
Arntz, Melanie (2011), Mobilitätshemmnisse heterogener Arbeitskräfte in Deutschland, Journal for Labour Market Research 44(1), 135-141.
Arntz, Melanie and Stephan L. Thomsen (2011), Crowding Out Informal Care? Evidence from a Field Experiment in Germany, Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics 73(3), 398-427.
Arntz, Melanie and Stephan L. Thomsen (2010), Are Personal Budgets a Financially Sound Reform Option for the German Long-Term Carte Insurance?, Journal of Economics and Statistics 230(4), 378-402.
Arntz, Melanie (2010), What attracts Human Capital? Understanding the Skill Composition of Interregional Job Matches in Germany, Regional Studies 44, 423 – 441.
Arntz, Melanie and Ralf Wilke (2009), Unemployment Duration in Germany: Individual and Regional Determinants of Local Job Finding, Migration and Subsidized Employment, Regional Studies 43, 43-61.
Arntz, Melanie, Stefan Boeters, Nicole Gürtzgen and Stefanie Schubert (2008), Analysing Welfare Reform in a Microsimulation-CGE Model - The Value of Disaggregation, Economic Modelling 25, 422-439.
Arntz, Melanie and Ralf Wilke (2007), An application of cartographic area interpolation to German administrative data, Allgemeines Statistisches Archiv 91, 159-180.
Arntz, Melanie, Stefan Boeters and Nicole Gürtzgen (2006), Alternative Approaches to Discrete Working Time Choice in an AGE Framework, Economic Modelling 23, 1008-1032.
Arntz, Melanie, Jochen Michaelis and Alexander Spermann (2006), Reforming Long-term Care in Germany: Preliminary Findings from a Social Experiment with Matching Transfers, Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics, 37-42.
Arntz, Melanie and Alexander Spermann (2005), Soziale Experimente mit dem Pflegebudget (2004-2008) - Konzeption des Evaluationsdesigns, Sozialer Fortschritt Jg 54, Heft 8, 181-191. Download
Assaad, R. and Melanie Arntz (2005), Constrained Geographical Mobility and Gendered Labor Market Outcomes Under Structural Adjustment: Evidence from Egypt, World Development 33 (3), 431-454.
Arntz, Melanie and Alexander Spermann (2004), Wie lässt sich die gesetzliche Pflegeversicherung mit Hilfe personengebundener Budgets reformieren?, Sozialer Fortschritt Jg 53, Heft 1, 11-22.
Arntz, Melanie, Michael Feil and Alexander Spermann (2003), Die Arbeitsangebotseffekte der neuen Mini- und Midijobs - eine ex-ante Evaluation, Mitteilungen aus der Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung 36, 271-290.
Articles in Non-Refereed Journals
Arntz, Melanie, Sarra Ben Yahmed and Francesco Berlingieri (2020), Working from Home and COVID-19: The Chances and Risks for Gender Gaps, Intereconomics 55(6), 381-386. Download
Arntz, Melanie, Terry Gregory and Ulrich Zierahn (2020), Digitalisierung und die Zukunft der Arbeit, Wirtschaftsdienst 100(13), 41–47. Download
Simon, Jansseon, Ute Leber, Melanie Arntz, Terry Gregory and Ulrich Zierahn (2018), Betriebe und Arbeitswelt 4.0: Mit Investitionen in die Digitalisierung steigt auch die Weiterbildung, IAB-Kurzbericht 26/2018, 1-8. Download
Maier, Michael F., Melanie Arntz, Angelika Ganserer, Stephan L. Thomsen and Holger Schütz (2018), Werkverträge auf dem Prüfstand, Personalwirtschaft 9/2018, 59-62.
Stettes, Oliver, Melanie Arntz, Terry Gregory, Ulrich Zierahn, Katharina Dengler, Daniel Veit, Werner Eichhorst and Ulf Rinne (2017), Arbeitswelt 4.0: Wohlstandszuwachs oder Ungleichheit und Arbeitsplatzverlust – was bringt die Digitalisierung?, ifo Schnelldienst 7, 3-18. Download
Arntz, Melanie, Terry Gregory, Britta Matthes, Florian Lehmer and Ulrich Zierahn (2016), Arbeitswelt 4.0 – Stand der Digitalisierung in Deutschland: Dienstleister haben die Nase vorn, IAB-Kurzbericht 22, 1-8. Download
Arntz, Melanie, Terry Gregory and Florian Lehmer (2012), Selektive Arbeitskräftemobilität in Deutschland: Beschäftigungschancen sind wichtiger als der Lohn, IAB-Kurzbericht 13, 1-8. Download
Arntz, Melanie and Stephan L. Thomsen (2010), The Social Long-Term Care Insurance: A Frail Pillar of the German Social Insurance System, CESifo DICE Report 8, 29-34.
Monographs, Contributions to Edited Volumes
Arntz, Melanie, Terry Gregory and Ulrich Zierahn (2020), Digitization and the Future of Work: Macroeconomic Consequences, in: Klaus F. Zimmermann Springer, Cham,. Download
Arnold, Daniel, Melanie Arntz, Terry Gregory, Susanne Steffes and Ulrich Zierahn (2018), No need for automation angst, but automation policies, in: Max Neufeind, Jacqueline OReilly, Florian Ranft London, New York,. Download
Arntz, Melanie and Stephan L. Thomsen (2011), Evaluation eines personengebundenen Pflegebudgets in der ambulanten Altenhilfe, in: GKV Spitzenverband Modellprogramm zur Weiterentwicklung der Pflegeversicherung, Vol. 4 Berlin, 85-108.
Arntz, Melanie (2009), Barriers to the mobility of heterogeneous labour in Germany, in: Niedersächsisches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung NIW Workshop 2008/2009, Hannover, 19-34.
Arntz, Melanie (2007), The Geographic Mobility of Heterogeneous Labour in Germany, Dissertation, Technische Universität Darmstadt, Darmstadt, Download
Arntz, Melanie and Alexander Spermann (2004), Nationale und internationale Konzepte in der Praxis, in: Thomas Klie, Alexander Spermann 1. Auflage, Vincentz, Hannover, S.16-39.
Arntz, Melanie and Alexander Spermann (2004), Probleme einer Einführung eines personengebundenen Pflegebudgets, in: Thomas Klie, Alexander Spermann 1. Auflage, Vincentz, Hannover, S. 222-250.
Arntz, Melanie, Peter Jacobebbinghaus and Alexander Spermann (2004), Minijobs, Midijobs und sozialversicherungspflichtige Beschäftigung in privaten Haushalten, in: Tobias Hagen, Alexander Spermann Vol. 74, Nomos Verlag, Baden-Baden (unter Mitarbeit von: Melanie Arntz, Andreas Ammermüller, Miriam Beblo, Martin Biewen, Bernhard Boockmann, Marco Caliendo, Bernd Fitzenberger, Nicole Gürtzgen, Reinhard Hujer, Peter Jacobebbinghaus, Friedhelm Pfeiffer, Andrea Weber, Ralf Wilke, Henrik Winterhager, Elke Wolf, Gaby Wunderlich), 171-189.
Discussion and Working Papers
Arntz, Melanie, Katharina Dengler, Ralf Dorau, Terry Gregory, Matthias Hartwig, Robert Helmrich, Florian Lehmer, Britta Matthes, Anita Tisch, Sascha Wischniewski and Ulrich Zierahn (2020), Digitalisierung und Wandel der Beschäftigung (DiWaBe) - Eine Datengrundlage für die interdisziplinäre Sozialpolitikforschung, ZEW-Dokumentation No. 20-02, Mannheim. Download
Arntz, Melanie, Sarra Ben Yahmed and Francesco Berlingieri (2020), Working from Home and Covid-19, The Chances and Risks for Gender Gaps, ZEW expert brief No. 20-09, Mannheim. Download
Goos, Maarten, Melanie Arntz, Ulrich Zierahn, Terry Gregory, Carretero Gómez Stephanie, González Vázquez Ignacio and Jonkers Koen (2019), The impact of Technological innovation on the Future of Work, JRC Working Papers Series on Labour, Education and Technology 2019/03 Seville. Download
Arntz, Melanie, Terry Gregory and Ulrich Zierahn (2019), Digitalization and the Future of Work: Macroeconomic Consequences, ZEW Discussion Paper No. 19-024, Mannheim. Download
Arntz, Melanie, Sarra Ben Yahmed and Francesco Berlingieri (2019), Working from Home: Heterogeneous Effects on Hours Worked and Wages, ZEW Discussion Paper No. 19-015, Mannheim. Download
Arnold, Daniel, Melanie Arntz, Terry Gregory, Susanne Steffes and Ulrich Zierahn (2016), Herausforderungen der Digitalisierung für die Zukunft der Arbeitswelt, ZEW policy brief No. 16-08, Mannheim. Download
Arntz, Melanie, Terry Gregory and Ulrich Zierahn (2016), The Risk of Automation for Jobs in OECD Countries: A Comparative Analysis, OECD Social, Employment and Migration Working Papers No. 189, Paris. Download
Arntz, Melanie, Stephan Dlugosz and Ralf Wilke (2014), The Sorting of Female Careers After First Birth: A Competing Risks Analysis of Maternity Leave Duration, ZEW Discussion Paper No. 14-125, Mannheim. Download
Arntz, Melanie and Terry Gregory (2014), What Old Stagers Could Teach Us – Examining Age Complementarities in Regional Innovation Systems, ZEW Discussion Paper No. 14-050, Mannheim. Download
Aretz, Bodo, Melanie Arntz and Terry Gregory (2012), The Minimum Wage Affects Them All: Evidence on Employment Spillovers in the Roofing Sector, ZEW Discussion Paper No. 12-061, Mannheim. Download
Aretz, Bodo, Melanie Arntz, Terry Gregory and Christian Rammer (2012), Der Mindestlohn im Dachdeckerhandwerk: Auswirkungen auf Beschäftigung, Arbeitnehmerschutz und Wettbewerb, ZEW Discussion Paper No. 12-060, Mannheim. Download
Arntz, Melanie, Terry Gregory and Florian Lehmer (2011), Unequal Pay or Unequal Employment? What Drives the Skill-Composition of Labor Flows in Germany?, ZEW Discussion Paper No. 11-074, Mannheim. Download
Arntz, Melanie and Stephan L. Thomsen (2008), Reforming Home Care Provision in Germany – Evidence from a Social Experiment, ZEW Discussion Paper No. 08-114, Mannheim. Download
Arntz, Melanie and Stephan L. Thomsen (2008), Crowding out Informal Care? Evidence from a Social Experiment in Germany, ZEW Discussion Paper No. 08-113, Mannheim. Download
Arntz, Melanie and Ralf Wilke (2008), How Weather-Proof is the Construction Sector? Empirical Evidence from Germany, ZEW Discussion Paper No. 08-105, Mannheim. Download
Arntz, Melanie, Markus Clauss, Margit Kraus, Reinhold Schnabel, Alexander Spermann and Jürgen Wiemers (2007), Arbeitsangebotseffekte und Verteilungswirkungen der Hartz-IV-Reform, IAB-Forschungsbericht, 10. Download
Arntz, Melanie, Simon M. S. Lo and Ralf Wilke (2007), Bounds Analysis of Competing Risks: A Nonparametric Evaluation of the Effect of Unemployment Benefits on Migration in Germany, ZEW Discussion Paper No. 07-049, Mannheim. Download
Arntz, Melanie and Ralf Wilke (2006), Unemployment Duration in Germany: Individual and Regional Determinants of Local Job Finding, Migration and Subsidized Employment , ZEW Discussion Paper No. 06-092, Mannheim. Download
Arntz, Melanie, Stefan Boeters, Nicole Gürtzgen and Stefanie Schubert (2006), Analysing Welfare Reform in a Microsimulation-AGE Model: The Value of Disaggregation, ZEW Discussion Paper No. 06-076, Mannheim. Download
Arntz, Melanie, Ralf Sacchetto, Alexander Spermann, Susanne Steffes and Sarah Widmaier (2006), The German Social Long-Term Care Insurance - Structure and Reform Options, ZEW Discussion Paper No. 06-074, Mannheim. Download
Arntz, Melanie (2006), What Attracts Human Capital? Understanding the Skill Composition of Interregional Job Matches in Germany, ZEW Discussion Paper No. 06-062, Mannheim. Download
Arntz, Melanie, Ralf Wilke and Henrik Winterhager (2006), Regionenmatching im Rahmen der Evaluation der Experimentierklausel des § 6c SGB II: Methodische Vorgehensweise und Ergebnisse, ZEW Discussion Paper No. 06-061, Mannheim. Download
Arntz, Melanie, Stefan Boeters and Nicole Gürtzgen (2005), Alternative Approaches to Discrete Working Time Choice in an AGE Framework, ZEW Discussion Paper No. 05-62, Mannheim. Download
Arntz, Melanie, Alexander Spermann and Jochen Michaelis (2005), Die Reform der Pflegeversicherung - weniger Kostendruck durch flexiblere Pflegearrangements?, Volkswirtschaftliche Diskussionsbeiträge Nr. 71/05, Fachbereich Wirtschaftswissenschaften, Universität Kassel. Download
Arntz, Melanie and Ralf Wilke (2005), Map Intersection Based Merging Schemes for Administrative Data Sources and an Application to Germany, ZEW Discussion Paper No. 05-20, Mannheim. Download
Arntz, Melanie (2005), The Geographical Mobility of Unemployed Workers, ZEW Discussion Paper No. 05-34, Mannheim. Download
Arntz, Melanie and Alexander Spermann (2004), Feldexperimente mit dem Pflegebudget (2004-2008) –Konzeption des Evaluationsdesigns, ZEW Discussion Paper No. 04-84, Mannheim. Download
Arntz, Melanie, Michael Feil and Alexander Spermann (2003), Maxi-Arbeitsangebotseffekte oder zusätzliche Arbeitslose durch Mini- und Midi-Jobs?, ZEW Discussion Paper No. 03-67, Mannheim. Download
Arntz, Melanie and Alexander Spermann (2003), Wie lässt sich die gesetzliche Pflegeversicherung mit Hilfe personengebundener Budgets reformieren?, ZEW Discussion Paper No. 03-58, Mannheim. Download
Expertises
Arntz, Melanie, Terry Gregory and Ulrich Zierahn (2018), Digitalisierung und die Zukunft der Arbeit: Makroökonomische Auswirkungen auf Beschäftigung, Arbeitslosigkeit und Löhne von morgen, Bundesministerium für Forschung und Entwicklung (BMBF), Mannheim. Download
Arntz, Melanie, Angelika Ganserer, Michael F. Maier, Katharina Sandbrink, Ulrich Schasse, Holger Schütz, Jacob Steinwede and Stephan L. Thomsen (2017), Verbreitung, Nutzung und mögliche Probleme von Werkverträgen - Quantitative Unternehmens- und Betriebsrätebefragung sowie wissenschaftliche Begleitforschung, Mannheim. Download
Schütz, Holger, Katharina Sandbrink, Jacob Steinwede, Melanie Arntz, Michael F. Maier and Angelika Ganserer (2017), Verbreitung, Nutzung und mögliche Probleme von Werkverträgen – Qualitative Betriebsfallstudien, Mannheim. Download
Arntz, Melanie, Terry Gregory, Simon Jansen and Ulrich Zierahn (2016), Tätigkeitswandel und Weiterbildungsbedarf in der digitalen Transformation, Deutsche Akademie der Technikwissenschaft, Mannheim. Download
Arntz, Melanie, Terry Gregory and Ulrich Zierahn (2016), ELS issues in robotics and steps to consider them. Part 1: Robotics and Employment, Deliverable D3.4.1 – part 1 for SPARC via RockEU, funded by EU FP7 Grant Agreement Number 611247, Mannheim. Download
Aretz, Bodo, Melanie Arntz, Holger Bonin, Sebastian Butschek, Annabelle Dörr, Bernd Fitzenberger, Terry Gregory, Nicole Gürtzgen, Holger Stichnoth and Thomas Walter (2014), Vorbereitende Forschung für die zweite Evaluationsrunde Mindestlöhne , Bundesministerium für Arbeit und Soziales, Berlin. Download
Aretz, Bodo, Melanie Arntz, Sandra Gottschalk, Terry Gregory, Michaela Niefert, Christian Rammer, Helmut Schröder and Holger Schütz (2011), ZEW-Studie zu den Wirkungen eines Mindestlohns in der Dachdeckerwirtschaft, Bundesministerium für Arbeit und Soziales (BMAS), Mannheim. Download
Research Reports
- ZEW-Wachstums- und Konjunkturanalysen
Projects
Current Projects
- Project Duration 01.10.2020 - 30.09.2022Contract with the Federal Ministry of Labour and Social Affairs: Scientific Advise and Corresponding Dialog Formats Concerning the Welfare State, the Working Environment, the Social Market Economy and in Addition the Implementation of Corresponding Dialogue Forms
- Project Duration 01.04.2017 - 31.12.2022Digitization and Changing World of Work: A Data Basis for Interdisciplinary Socio-Political Research
Finished Projects
- Project Duration 01.08.2019 - 31.07.2020Mannheim in the Competition for Talent - An Analysis of Factors to Increase the Local Supply of Highly Qualified Employees
- Project Duration 01.10.2018 - 30.09.2019Understanding Public Attitudes and Political Preferences in the Context of Automatization of the Labor Force
- Project Duration 15.11.2017 - 30.04.2018Innovation and the Future of Work
- Project Duration 01.04.2016 - 31.05.2019SEEK-Project 2016: Fiscal and Labour Policy Institutions and Inequality
- Project Duration 01.03.2016 - 31.03.2020Local Labour Markets: The Causes and Consequences of Spatial Differences in Labour Market Outcomes Across Cities in France and Germany
- Project Duration 01.03.2016 - 31.08.2016Changing Tasks and the Demand for Further Education in the Digital Transformation
- Project Duration 11.02.2016 - 01.05.2016Consequences of Robotization for Employment
- Project Duration 26.10.2015 - 29.02.2016Technological Change and the Substitution of Labor
- Project Duration 01.08.2015 - 31.07.2017Digitalisation and the Future of Work: Macroeconomic Consequences for Tomorrow's Employment, Unemployment and Wages
- Project Duration 01.07.2015 - 30.09.2016Offshoring to Eastern Europe and China: Displacement Effects, Cost Reductions and Labor Market Effects in Europe
- Project Duration 15.12.2014 - 31.03.2017Cooperation in the Economy
- Project Duration 01.04.2014 - 31.10.2017Challenges and Opportunities Arising from Ubiquitous Working
- Project Duration 01.11.2013 - 30.11.2014SEEK-Project 2013: A New International Division of Labour – Adjustments in European Regions
- Project Duration 01.07.2013 - 15.11.2013Preliminary research for the second evaluation round "Minimum Wages" – improvement and extension of evaluation methods
- Project Duration 15.10.2011 - 15.04.2012Safe Jobs but poor Pay? Minimum Wage Effects on Skilled Workers of the Roofing Sector
- Project Duration 01.09.2011 - 31.12.2013Does Demographic Change Weaken Knowledge-Based Economies? Analysing the link Between Population age Structure and Innovation
- Project Duration 01.08.2011 - 31.07.2014Adequate Employment of Graduates: An Economical Analysis of Job Match Quality
- Project Duration 01.04.2011 - 30.06.2013SEEK-Project 2011: The Effect of (Relative) Wages and Human Capital on Fertility Choices: Lessons From East Germany’s Fertility Decline After Unification
- Project Duration 14.12.2010 - 31.08.2011Evaluating existing minimum wage regulations in the roofing sector
- Project Duration 01.03.2009 - 31.03.2010Heterogeneous spatial frictions and the urban wage premium Examining the wage penalty of being relatively immobile
- Project Duration 01.11.2008 - 31.01.2011Potentials for the flexibization of regional labour markets. An empirical study on the consequences of regional mobility
- Project Duration 01.04.2008 - 31.03.2009A Microeconometric Analysis of Seasonal Unemployment in Germany
- Project Duration 01.03.2008 - 31.12.2008Gender Ratios, Labor Markets and Social Stability. Evidence from Regional Variation in Germany
- Project Duration 01.10.2005 - 31.12.2008Evaluation of the experimentation clause § 6c SGB II (Social Security Code) - comparative evaluation of the success on the labor market of the responsibility models opting municipality (Optierende Kommune) and consortium (ARGE) - research field 1: descriptive analysis and matching
- Project Duration 01.09.2005 - 30.09.2006Development of an IAB Micro-Simulation Model
- Project Duration 01.10.2004 - 31.08.2008Potetials for the flexibization of regional labour markets by means of interregional labour mobility
- Project Duration 15.08.2003 - 07.11.2003Evaluating the implementation of proposals made by the Hartz-Commission - pilot study (BMWA-Project No. 14/03)
- Project Duration 01.08.2002 - 30.04.2004Reform of unemployment insurance, unemployment assistance and social assistance
- Project Duration 01.07.2002 - 30.06.2003Client-Allocated Budgets in Long-Term Care - an Alternative to In-Kind Payments in Financing Homecare Services?
Events
Corporate Education
- 01.07.2008 - 03.07.2008Verweildaueranalyse – Aufbaukurs
More Information
Teaching Activities and Stand-in Professors
-
SS 2019:
Lecture
"Introduction to Applied Economic Research",
University of Heidelberg, Germany -
HS 2018:
Bloc
"Digital transformation of the labour market",
University of Heidelberg, Germany -
WS 2015/2016:
Bloc
""Current labour market developments"",
University of Heidelberg, Germany -
SS 2014:
Lecture
"Empirical Economic Research",
University of Heidelberg, Germany
-
SS 2019:
Lecture
"Introduction to Applied Economic Research",
Publishing Activities for Journals/Series
- 2017: Mitherausgeber Journal of Labour Market Research
- 2014 - 2016: Mitherausgeber Zeitschrift für ArbeitsmarktForschung
Department
Function
Deputy
Memberships
