Latest Press Releases

In the most recent survey for November (31/10/2018–14/11/2018), expectations regarding the Chinese economy have taken a nosedive. The CEP Indicator, which reflects the expectations of international financial market experts regarding China’s macroeconomic development over the coming twelve months, has fallen 28 points to a current reading of minus 30.0 points (October 2018: minus 2.0 points). This is the lowest reading since the survey was begun in mid-2013. The indicator is thus once again well below the long-term average of 3.4 points.

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In 2019, the CEP Indicator will be released on the following dates at 10:00 a.m. Frankfurt Time.

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In the most recent survey for October (02/10/2018–17/10/2018), expectations regarding the Chinese economy rose again. The CEP Indicator, which reflects the expectations of international financial market experts regarding China’s macroeconomic development over the coming twelve months, has climbed 14 points to a current reading of minus 2.0 points (September 2018: minus 16.0 points). The indicator thus still remains well below the long-term average of 3.9 points. Falling 5.7 points to a level of minus 3.9 points, the assessment of the current economic situation in China was more negative than the previous month.

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In the most recent survey for September (05-20/09/2018), economic expectations for China experienced a considerable drop. The CEP Indicator, which reflects the expectations of international financial market experts regarding China’s macroeconomic development over the coming twelve months, currently stands at minus 16.0 points, 12.3 points lower than in the previous month (August 2018: minus 3.7 points). This means that the indicator has remained below the long-term average of 4.0 points since March 2018. The assessment of the current economic situation in China also worsened compared to the previous month, with the indicator dropping 7.5 points to a reading of 1.8 points. The assessment of the current situation has therefore experienced a decrease of 30.5 points since February 2018, when an interim high of 32.3 points was recorded.

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According to the most recent survey in August (02/08/2018–15/08/2018), the economic outlook for China has recovered again after having declined considerably in the previous five months. The CEP Indicator, which reflects the expectations of international financial market experts regarding China’s macroeconomic development over the coming twelve months, is currently at minus 3.7 points (July 2018: minus 10.9 points). However, the CEP indicator is still well below the long-term average of 4.3 points. Climbing 1.7 points to a level of 9.3 points, the assessment of the current economic situation in China was also more positive than the previous month.

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In the recent survey for July (27/06/2018–12/07/2018), economic expectations for China once again dropped considerably to a new level of minus 10.9 points (June 2018: 2.9 points). This represents the fifth consecutive decrease in the CEP Indicator, which is currently well below the long-term average of 4.5 points. The CEP Indicator reflects the expectations of international financial market experts regarding China’s macroeconomic development over the coming twelve months.

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According to the most recent survey for June (16/05/2018–01/06/2018), the economic outlook for China dropped slightly by 1.6 points to a new value of minus 2.9 points. This represents the fourth consecutive decrease in the CEP Indicator, which is currently well below the long-term average of 4.8 points. The CEP Indicator reflects the expectations of international financial market experts regarding China’s macroeconomic development over the coming twelve months.

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According to the most recent survey for May (18/04/2018–03/05/2018), the economic outlook for China dropped by 0.3 points to a new value of minus 1.3 points. The most recent reading of the CEP indicator, which reflects the expectations of international financial market experts with regard to economic development in China over the coming twelve months, seems to suggest that the current economic situation will likely remain unchanged until well into the year 2019.

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In the April survey (20.3.–05.04.2018), expectations for the Chinese economy fell once again, albeit slightly. The CEP indicator has dropped 2.4 points since last month, bringing it to a current level of minus 1.0 points (March 2018: 1.4 points). The current results of the CEP Indicator, which reflects the expectations of international financial market experts regarding China’s macroeconomic development over the coming twelve months, show that economic conditions are expected to remain largely unchanged over the current year.

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In the March survey (22.02.–07.03.2018), economic expectations for China experienced a considerable drop. The CEP indicator now stands at 1.4 points, 13.3 points lower than in the previous month (February 2018: 14.7 points). This sees the CEP Indicator, which reflects the expectations of international financial market experts regarding China’s macroeconomic development over the coming twelve months, return to its level from January 2018.

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