Latest Press Releases

The Federal Statistical Office published its preliminary results on the development of the German inflation rate in November 2021. According to the calculations, the inflation rate measured by the German consumer price index rose further to 5.2 per cent compared to the previous month. Professor Friedrich Heinemann, head of the Research Department “Corporate Taxation and Public Finance” at ZEW Mannheim, comments on this matter:

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Civic engagement in Germany has played an important role in the integration of migrants since autumn 2015. Migrants living in regions with active volunteer groups have had more frequent contact with Germans, have better German language skills and higher life satisfaction. These are the results of a recent study by ZEW Mannheim.

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The currently very high consumer price inflation rates in the euro area are expected to gradually decline over the next two years, but are projected to remain well above the ECB’s target of two per cent over this period. Disruptions in international supply chains, raw material shortages and high energy prices are expected to become less important drivers of inflation by 2023. On the other hand, the relevance of wage growth in the euro area for the experts’ inflation expectations has increased significantly compared to previous surveys, especially for the year 2022.

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The German Federal Ministry of Finance’s Working Party on Tax Revenue Estimates presented the results of its new analysis today. According to the announced results, tax revenues will recover much faster from the pandemic in the coming years than previously assumed.

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Germany and Europe are lacking digital sovereignty. This jeopardises the ability of the German economy and its European partners to respond effectively to future challenges, to innovate and to remain competitive. This is the result of a study by ZEW Mannheim, which is based on a comprehensive evaluation of the existing literature and a representative company survey. On behalf of the Federal Ministry for Economic Affairs and Energy, ZEW researchers surveyed more than 1,200 companies from the information economy and manufacturing industry.

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European companies will be obliged to disclose their country-related profits and income taxes in the form of so-called country-by-country reporting in the future. A corresponding draft directive was approved today by the Parliament of the European Union. The aim of the directive is to detect and curb tax avoidance practices. The announcement of a preliminary political agreement on 1 June 2021 to introduce such a directive had already led to noticeable reactions on the capital market: A current study by ZEW Mannheim, in cooperation with the University of Mannheim, identified cumulative average abnormal returns between ‑0.499 and ‑0.699 per cent for up to two days after the announcement. This corresponds to a cumulative loss in firm value of 48 to 65 billion euros.

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With the 14th Five-Year Plan, the Chinese government has set itself the ambitious goal of creating a more innovation-based economy and becoming the world’s leading nation in science and technology by 2050. To this end, gross expenditures on research and development (R&D) are targeted to grow by at least seven per cent annually between 2021 and 2025. There are plans to stimulate more R&D in companies through extensive subsidies and other policy incentives. However, this is not the end of the story. As a recent study by ZEW Mannheim shows, misappropriation of subsidies has been widespread in China in the past and has long stood in the way of efficient use of state funding. Therefore, as early as 2006, a seminal change in China’s innovation and industrial policy took place and numerous measures were introduced to improve funding instruments and curb their misuse. “Should such measures become even more effective in the future, China will turn into an increasingly innovative competitor on the world market and at the same time become more attractive as an R&D location for foreign companies,” says Dr. Philipp Boeing, China expert at ZEW, commenting on the results of the study.

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The ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment for Germany increased in the current November 2021 survey, climbing 9.4 points to a new reading of 31.7 points. This is the first time since May that the indicator has recorded a rise. The assessment of the economic situation in Germany has worsened again in the current survey, falling by 9.1 points to a level of 12.5 points.

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The ZEW – Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research celebrated its 30th anniversary on Monday, 8 November 2021. Since its foundation in 1991, the institute has become one of the most important voices in economic research and policy advice. “Specialising in empirical microeconomics has been ZEW’s trademark from the very beginning. This means that we have always focused on people, firms and markets in our research and that we have also kept an eye on feasibility when providing advice,” says ZEW President Professor Achim Wambach. “All research departments have developed their own unique competencies and are internationally respected. At the same time, ZEW has recently expanded its research in the area of market design. Here, we address questions on how markets can be organised intelligently to ensure a competitive and sustainable economy in the long run.”

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According to a report in the Handelsblatt, the so-called traffic light coalition partners SPD, FDP and the Greens, named after the traditional colours of the parties, have agreed not to create a digital ministry. Professor Irene Bertschek, head of the ZEW Research Department “Digital Economy”, has commented on that matter:

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