Private Health Insurance Contracts: Better than Their Reputation

Research

ZEW Study Shows Efficiency of Long-Term Contracts in Private Health Insurance

The design of German private long-term health insurance contracts comes very close to the ideal economic dynamic life cycle contract finds a new study conducted by ZEW Mannheim together with Cornell University, the University of Pennsylvania and the University of Duisburg-Essen.

The design of German private long-term health insurance contracts comes very close to the ideal economic dynamic life cycle contract: Even when using various model assumptions, the deadweight loss compared to a theoretically optimal health insurance contract does not exceed four per cent over the entire life cycle. These are the findings of a new study conducted by ZEW Mannheim together with Cornell University, the University of Pennsylvania and the University of Duisburg-Essen. The study has just been published in the renowned Journal of Political Economy, one of the world's top five economics journals.

“Germany’s private health insurance system is unique worldwide. It has been a stable market for decades and, from a certain economic perspective, it is better than its reputation. Individuals who, ideally, obtain lifetime health insurance while they are young and in good health are generally granted lifetime contracts with stable premiums that are actuarially fair,” explains Professor Nicolas Ziebarth, head of the ZEW Research Unit “Labour Markets and Social Insurance” and co-author of the study. “In theory and largely in practice, as well as according to the regulatory provisions, premiums remain relatively stable throughout life and do not increase significantly in old age, despite the strong rise in age-related health care spending. This means, among other things, that policyholders can balance their expenses relatively well across different phases of life. German private health insurance contracts therefore come unexpectedly close to the ideal proposed by economic theory – especially if the income remains relatively stable over the course of a lifetime.”

Long-term contracts stabilise premiums

The welfare value achieved is particularly striking. In numerous scenarios, it is over 96 per cent of the theoretical maximum. This refers to the economic benefit: What is the perceived value of a secure, predictable, lifelong policy versus having to re-insure every year with the risk of paying more due to poorer health?

“Long-term contracts, such as those in the German private health insurance system, equalise risks over the course of a lifetime. In Germany, an accident or serious illness does not lead to higher premiums or the unilateral cancellation of the contract by the insurer as happens with other health insurance providers or as was the case, for example, in the USA before the ObamaCare reform. What is disadvantageous in the short term – such as relatively high premiums at a young age in relation to your state of health – provides stability in the long term by building up a capital stock for higher expenses in old age. This is the key strength of long-term contracts,” Ziebarth says.

Germany has a dual health insurance system with the world's largest market for individual long-term contracts. The study therefore used the German private health insurance contract system as a “real lab” to empirically test central assumptions of insurance economics.

Additional Information