Publications of the Research Unit Pensions and Sustainable Financial Markets

  1. ZEW-Finanzmarktreport // 2016

    März 2016

    • Konjunkturerwartungen weiter rückläufig
    • Eurozone: Zinserwartungen sinken deutlich
    • USA: Konjunktureller Pessimismus nimmt zu
    • Japan: Konjunkturausblick trübt sich weiter ein
    • Großbritannien: Deutlicher Rückgang der…
  2. Financial Market Report Switzerland // 2016

    March 2016

    • Swiss Economic Outlook Remains Muted
    • International Financial Market Data — Assessments and Expectations
    • Interest-Rate Cuts in Europe not Ruled out
    • Stable USD/CHF Exchange Rate Expected
    • Stock-Price Expectations…
  3. Discussion and Working Paper // 2016

    Syndication, Interconnectedness, and Systemic Risk

    Syndication increases the overlap of bank loan portfolios and makes them more vulnerable to contagious effects. We develop a novel measure of bank interconnectedness using syndicated corporate loans.…

  4. Discussion and Working Paper // 2016

    Government Guarantees and Bank Risk Taking Incentives

    This paper analyzes the effect of the removal of government guarantees on bank risk taking. We exploit the removal of guarantees for German Landesbanken which results in lower credit ratings, higher funding…

  5. Refereed Journal // 2016

    The Total Costs of Corporate Borrowing in the Loan Market: Don't Ignore the Fees

    More than 80% of U.S. syndicated loans contain at least one fee type and contracts typically specify a menu of spreads and fee types. We test the predictions of existing theories on the main purposes of fees and…

  6. Refereed Journal // 2016

    Using time-stamped survey responses to measure expectations at a daily frequency

    This article addresses one of the drawbacks of survey-based measures of expectations, the fact that updates are relatively infrequent, due to the monthly or quarterly frequency of survey waves. To obtain a more…

  7. ZEW-PwC-China Economic Barometer // 2016

    First Quarter 2016

    • Economic Outlook Slightly Brighter but Remains Negative Overall
    • Growth Supported by Private Consumption and Investment
    • New Five-Year Plan: Expected to Bring Improvements for German Companies too; Continuing Urgend…
  8. Refereed Journal // 2016

    Forecasting with Bayesian Vector Autoregressions Estimated Using Professional Forecasts

    We propose a Bayesian shrinkage approach for vector autoregressions (VARs) that uses short-term survey forecasts as an additional source of information about model parameters. In particular, we augment the…

Further Publications

ZEW Financial Market Survey

German Real Estate Finance Index (DIFI Report)