Political Consequences of Consumer Debt Relief

Many democracies operate consumer debt relief programs. These are often implemented or adjusted during the election cycle, but their political effects are not well-understood. We investigate if debt relief can influence high-stakes elections. We utilize quasi-experimental variation generated by a very large privately-funded debt relief program enacted in the Republic of Georgia during the presidential election in 2018 that affected every sixth voter. We estimate that the program helped the incumbent candidate win that election, and that its effects persisted. Overall, we show how economic power can translate into political power in a democracy.

Asatryan, Zareh, Toke Aidt and Lusine Badalyan (forthcoming), Political Consequences of Consumer Debt Relief, The Review of Economics and Statistics