Who Pays for Fiscal Rules? Evidence From Italian Municipalities

Who Pays for Fiscal Rules? Evidence From Italian Municipalities

Client/Allowance

ZEW GmbH

Period: 01.08.2018 – 30.07.2019

Fiscal rules have gained importance in recent decades given ever increasing deficits and public debt around the world. In this project, we add to a small literature which recently evaluated the budgetary and economic consequences of fiscal rules in quasi-experimental set-ups. To do this, we exploit the reform of a fiscal rule applied to Italian municipalities and examine its distributional impact. The introduction of a new population cutoff, above which jurisdictions have to comply with the rule, gives rise to a Difference-in-Discontinuity design. Since Italian municipalities have substantial tax autonomy, including the possibility to levy a non-linear income surcharge, we are able to identify differential effects along the income distribution. Preliminary results suggest that municipalities mostly raised taxes on middle- and high-income households. Mechanisms such political economy factors will be exploited in the course of the project.

Project members

Sebastian Blesse

Sebastian Blesse

Project Coordinator
Junior Research Associate

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Zareh Asatryan

Zareh Asatryan

Deputy Head

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Nils Wehrhöfer

Nils Wehrhöfer

Junior Research Associate

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Client/Allowance
ZEW GmbH, Mannheim, DE

Contact

Sebastian Blesse
Junior Research Associate
Dr. Sebastian Blesse
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