Shifting freight volume from the road to more environmental friendly modes is one of the core objectives of the European Union. In the white paper of the Commission measures like the internalisation of external costs or the increase of rail speed in freight transport are quoted. In this article the potential to reduce CO2 emissions by implementing these measures will be quantified by using a discrete choice model. In a first step the authors estimate the modal shift of these measures before they quantify the CO2 reduction potential in the second step. The re-sults show that there is only a limited possibility to change modal choice behaviour of hauliers and that the CO2 reduction effect is even lower.
Bühler, Georg and Patrick Jochem (2008), CO2-Emissionsminderungspotentiale von Speditionen durch Verkehrsverlagerung welche Potentiale haben politische Instrumente?, Internationales Verkehrswesen 7-8.