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Transport Market Barometer

ZEW/Prognos Survey on Transport Markets - Increased Transport Volumes Primarily Expected in the Road Freight Sector

Developments in German transport markets have left little room for price increases in the coming six months. Particularly in road freight, a downward price trend is to be expected. Things are much more varied, however, when it comes to transport volumes. While experts forecast increases in transport volumes for road freight and courier, express and package services (CEP) in Germany in the next six months, volumes are expected to stagnate for rail freight and inland shipping. The outlook for air freight, which up to now has been rather positive, has also worsened. A special survey regarding the GDL train drivers' strike indicates that the strike has not only cost Deutsche Bahn market shares, but that the company has also suffered damage to its image. These are the key findings of the Prognos/ZEW TransportmarktBarometer (Transport Market Barometer) carried out in the third quarter of 2015. In this quarterly survey, Prognos AG, Basel, and the Mannheim Centre for European Economic Research (ZEW) survey some 250 top executives from the transport and loading industry about their expectations for the development of transport volumes and prices on a six-month horizon. read more


Fifth SEEK Annual Conference at ZEW (October 8-9, 2015)

Mario Monti, former Prime Minister of Italy, and Peter Praet, executive board member and chief economist of the European Central Bank, are the keynote speakers of the fifth SEEK Annual Conference under the heading "Overcoming the Crisis: How to Foster Innovation and Entrepreneurship in a Diverging European Economy?", held on October 8 and 9, 2015. Can investment in innovation and entrepreneurship be an instrument to tackle the growing divide between national economies in the euro area? Which policy measures effectively stimulate innovation? Is the economic environment in Europe sufficiently conducive to business creation? Monti and Praet will discuss these issues with guests from the realms of business, politics, and academia at ZEW. If you wish to participate, please contact us no later than October 2, 2015, at seek@zew.eu. read more


DIFI Report by ZEW and JLL Released: Euphoria Has Worn off

The German Real Estate Finance Index (DIFI) has decreased by 23.5 points in the third quarter of 2015 to a current reading of 6.2 points. This is the indicator's lowest level since the end of 2012. The significant quarter-on-quarter loss is attributable to a less favourable assessment of the financing situation in the past six months. In addition, experts' optimism in regard to financing expectations has somewhat decreased. A clear majority of experts, however, assess both the situation and the outlook as unchanged. These are the key findings of the DIFI Report, a quarterly survey on the real estate financing market by ZEW in cooperation with JLL. read more

Dates and News

High-Level Closing Conference of the ENTRACTE Research Project in Brussels

On September 25, high-ranking researchers and decision-makers meet in Brussels for the closing conference of the ENTRACTE research project. Over the past three years, the project, which is funded under the EU's Seventh Framework Programme for Research, has analysed the interactions of climate and energy policy instruments. Coordinated by the Centre for European Economic Research (ZEW), the project brought together nine scientific partners from five countries, including renowned institutions such as the London School of Economics. read more


2015 Beijing Humboldt Forum in Cooperation with ZEW

The Centre for European Economic Research (ZEW), the University of International Business and Economics (UIBE), and the Alexander von Humboldt Foundation jointly organised this year's Beijing Humboldt Forum on September 19 to 21, 2015, in the Chinese capital. Within the framework of the forum, ZEW researchers presented their latest findings concerning the quality of Chinese patents, the evaluation of joint R&D programmes in Europe, and the relation between politicians' promotion and bank risk exposure in China. The forum, which took place under the heading "Green Economy, Cultural Heritage, and Innovation of Materials", aimed to strengthen the research cooperation between Germany and China in these fields. read more

Call for Papers

Conference on Occupations, Skills, and the Labour Market (March 18-19,2016)

The Centre for European Economic Research (ZEW) is pleased to announce a conference entitled "Occupations, Skills, and the Labour Market" in Mannheim on March 18 and 19, 2016. The conference focuses on occupations and skills in industrialised countries and on the ways these interact with employment, wages, and participation in the labour market as well as social inequality. We invite empirical and theoretical contributions on this topic from all areas of economics, personnel economics, and sociology. Interested researchers should submit full papers (preliminary versions are welcome) in PDF format to Arne Jonas Warnke via e-mail to dfg1764@zew.de no later than December 15, 2015. If possible, include up to four JEL Codes. read more


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