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News from the Centre for European Economic Research

ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment

ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment - Further Economic Slowdown Expected

The ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment for Germany drops by 10.5 points in October 2014 and now stands at minus 3.6 points (long-term average: 24.5 points). Decreasing for the tenth consecutive time, the index has returned to negative territory for the first time since November of 2012. read more

Financial Market Survey Switzerland

ZEW-CS Financial Market Test Switzerland - Economic expectations drop sharply

In October 2014 the economic expectations for Switzerland decline sharply by 23.0 points. Thereby the ZEW-CS Indicator slides down to a level of minus 30.7 points and reaches a two year low. read more

Financial Market Survey Central and Eastern Europe

ZEW-Erste Group Bank Economic Sentiment Indicator for Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) - Economic Expectations Improve Slightly

In October 2014 economic expectations for Central and Eastern Europe including Turkey (CEE region) improve slightly. In the current survey the ZEW-Erste Group Bank Economic Sentiment Indicator for the CEE region has gained 3.7 points and reaches a level of 7.0 points. Among the individual countries the largest improvement is observed for the indicator for Poland which has increased by 19.7 points this month. read more

Research

Bank Stress Test in Europe – Equity Base Is Still too Small

Before taking over responsibility for banking supervision in the eurozone by the end of 2014, the European Central Bank (ECB) investigates the financial solidity of banks in a stress test. It is a much debated topic what measures against potential capital shortfalls the banks subjected to the stress test have already taken before the assessment begins. For a study dedicated to this concern, the Mannheim Centre for European Economic Research (ZEW) has compared bank balance sheets from the fiscal years of 2012 and 2013. read more

Research

German Book Market Will Be Confronted with New Challenges

The German book trade has been facing competition from the rapidly growing sector of online booksellers since the mid-1990s. The increasing spread of e-books is also a widely discussed topic. But what changes have so far actually taken place on the supply side of the German book market? An analysis by ZEW shows that the market is going through a major transition. Traditional booksellers are currently confronted with the challenge of strengthening their position as service providers. read more

China Economic Panel

China Economic Panel (CEP) by ZEW and Fudan University (Shanghai) - Economic Expectations for China Lose Ground

After some stabilization in the past three months, macroeconomic expectations for China have received a new setback according to the results of the China Economic Panel (CEP). The CEP Indicator, which reflects the assessments of international financial analysts regarding China’s macroeconomic outlook over the next twelve months, deteriorated by 17.1 points in the current survey period (September 15 to September 30, 2014). At its new level of 1.7 points, the index dropped below its long-term average of 14.9 points. At the same time, it moves close to the zero line, signaling that optimistic and pessimistic assessments within the sample of experts now balance each other. The current value is the lowest of the CEP Indicator since the survey began in mid-2013. read more

Call for Papers

Call for Papers: 2015 ZEW Public Finance Conference (April 27-28, 2015)

The Centre for European Economic Research (ZEW) is pleased to announce the 2015 Annual Public Finance Conference in Mannheim from April 27 to 28, 2015. While papers on all aspects of empirical and applied theoretical issues in public finance are welcome, the focus of this year’s conference will be on European tax policy. Submissions that relate to the topics specified in the call for papers are particularly welcome. Please submit your paper via our conference management website at http://zew.converia.de/?sub=13 no later than February 15, 2015. The conference fee will be waived for presenters. Furthermore, we will contribute to covering accommodation expenses for presenters of accepted papers. read more

Public Events

ZEW Lunch Debate in Brussels Addresses the Crisis, Income Inequality and Wealth Disparity

“Are the Fiscal Responses to the Crisis Increasing Income Inequality and Wealth Disparity?” was the topic of the fourth ZEW Lunch Debate in Brussels this year. The event was hosted by the Representation of the State of Baden-Württemberg to the European Union. read more


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