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Stock Market Turmoil in China - ZEW Researchers Recommend Extension of Investment Types for Households in China

Following the plunge in stock prices in China and the subsequent slump of the leading index at US stock markets, the German DAX has recently also dropped below the 10,000-point mark. With a view on the economic consequences for China, Professor Michael Schröder and Dr. Oliver Lerbs, financial market experts at the Mannheim Centre for European Economic Research (ZEW), consider the Chinese government responsible for taking approriate action. read more

Research

Higher Spending in Years of Local Elections

Municipal public spending often increases prior to elections. This recurring phenomenon is the result of "political budget cycles", that is, strategic manipulation of expenditures or undue influence on other fiscal variables by elected representatives in office. Their motivation is to put themselves in a more positive light in view of upcoming elections. A study based on municipal data of the German States of Bavaria and Baden-Württemberg, conducted by the Mannheim Centre for European Economic Research (ZEW), shows that public spending increases particularly when local council and mayoral elections coincide, and when the incumbent mayor runs for re-election. read more

Research

ZEW Energy Market Barometer - Energy Market Experts Expect Stagnation in Energy Prices in the Short Run

Energy prices in Germany are set to stagnate over the coming six months. On a five-year horizon, however, electricity, oil and gas prices are expected to rise once again. No explicit trend can be observed for medium-term coal prices. These are the central findings of the ZEW Energy Market Barometer, a biannual survey among approximately 200 energy market experts, conducted by the Mannheim Centre for European Economic Research (ZEW). read more

Research

Energy Market Experts Forecast Medium-Term Risks for Energy Providers as a Result of the Energy Transition

The turnaround in German energy policy, the energy transition (“Energiewende”), is considered one of the major energy policy projects in German history. Such an ambitious project will bring about notable changes in many areas of the German business landscape. Over the medium term, the energy transition will have a significant impact on the economic situation of companies in the energy sector, as well as on companies involved in the construction of power plants. The resulting opportunities and risks, however, are unevenly distributed. This is a finding from the current Energy Market Barometer carried out by the Mannheim Centre for European Economic Research (ZEW). More than 200 energy market experts participated in the survey. They were asked to assess the consequences of the energy transition on the economic situation of companies in the energy sector and on the German economy as a whole on a five-year horizon. read more

ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment

ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment - German Economic Sentiment Declines Once Again

The ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment for Germany declines again in August 2015. Decreasing by 4.7 points compared to the previous month, the index now stands at a level of 25.0 points (long-term average: 24.9 points). "The German economic engine is still running smoothly. However, under the current geopolitical and global economic circumstances a substantial improvement of the economic situation in Germany over the medium term is improbable. That is why economic sentiment has declined," says ZEW President Professor Clemens Fuest. read more

CH Indicator of Economic Sentiment

ZEW-CS Financial Market Test Switzerland - Economic Outlook Returns to Positive Territory

The ZEW-CS Indicator for Switzerland has increased by 11.3 points in August 2015, thereby rising from its July value of minus 5.4 points to a current reading of 5.9 points. Following significant deterioration as a result of the Swiss Franc shock at the beginning of the year, the indicator has remained more or less closely around zero points for the last four months. A reading of zero indicates that financial experts expect neither deterioration nor improvement of the Swiss economy. The ZEW-CS Indicator reflects the expectations of the surveyed financial market experts regarding the economic development in Switzerland on a six-month time horizon. The indicator is calculated on a monthly basis by the Mannheim Centre for European Economic Research (ZEW) in cooperation with Credit Suisse (CS), Zurich. read more

CEE Indicator of Economic Sentiment

ZEW-Erste Group Bank Economic Sentiment Indicator for Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) - Slight Upturn in Economic Expectations

Economic expectations for Central and Eastern Europe including Turkey (CEE region) have slightly improved in August 2015. In the current survey, the ZEW-Erste Group Bank Economic Sentiment Indicator for the CEE region has increased by 3.5 points. The indicator now stands at a level of 19.0 points. The ZEW-Erste Group Bank Economic Sentiment Indicator for Central and Eastern Europe reflects the financial market experts' expectations for the CEE region on a six-month time horizon. The indicator has been compiled on a monthly basis together with further financial market data by the Mannheim Centre for European Economic Research (ZEW) with the support of Erste Group Bank, Vienna, since 2007. read more

M&A-Index

ZEW-ZEPHYR M&A Index - Mega Deals to Spur Global Mergers and Acquisitions

The global M&A market continues to show a very strong performance. Spurred by a number of record deals, the upward trend at the global M&A market has persisted. This is the result of recent calculations by the Centre for European Economic Research (ZEW) based on the Zephyr database of Bureau van Dijk (BvD). read more

Knowledge Transfer and Qualification Programmes

Knowledge Transfer and Qualification Programmes at ZEW: 2015-16 Seminar Programme Released

The new Seminar Programme of the Centre for European Economic Research (ZEW) has been released, featuring an extended range of seminars. ZEW offers scientifically grounded qualification programmes for specialists and executive staff from all areas. The seminars are tailored to specific target audiences and draw on knowledge obtained through ZEW research activities. The training seminars are held by ZEW experts in an application-oriented way. read more

Call for Papers

TAPES 2016 - ZEW/NBER Trans-Atlantic Public Economics Seminar (June 13-15, 2016)

The Centre for European Economic Research (ZEW) and the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) jointly organise the next Trans-Atlantic Public Economics Seminar (TAPES2016) on June 13-15, 2016. The seminar focuses on studies of social insurance programmes including unemployment insurance, disability insurance, social security, and health insurance. The event aims to foster the discussion of topics associated with the impacts and consequences of current and future potential programme changes. Please upload an abstracts of about 750 words or a complete paper on NBER's submission page no later than October 1, 2015. read more

Call for Papers

ZEW Workshop on the Development and Consequences of Atypical Employment (December 2-3, 2015)

The Centre for European Economic Research (ZEW) in Mannheim is pleased to announce a workshop on the development and consequences of atypical employment on December 2 and 3, 2015. The topic becomes increasingly important, particularly in Germany but also in the European context, due to the growing number and diversification of atypical employment. Little is known, however, about the consequences for employees. The aim of the workshop is to bring together international researchers to present and discuss recent empirical and theoretical contributions. Please submit papers in PDF or MS Word format to AtypWS15@zew.de no later than September 27, 2015. read more

Questions & Answers

What Is the Cost of Aggressive Corporate Tax Planning for Europe? - "No Truly Reliable Figures Exist for Revenue Losses"

The European Commission has launched another attempt to tackle aggressive tax planning by multinationals. Its action plan for reforming corporate taxation in the European Union intends to stop practices that, although not illegal, constitute unfair tax avoidance on the part of large corporations. Has the EU Commis¬sion found the right instrument to nip profit shifting in the bud and to dry up tax havens? Prof. Dr. Christoph Spengel, ZEW Research Associate and corporate taxation expert from the University of Mannheim, argues that the Commission's proposed Common Corporate Tax Base will result in less bureaucracy and a definite increase in transparency. read more


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