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Gunter Grittmann
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E-mail: grittmann@zew.de
Phone: +49 (0)621-1235-132
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Kathrin Böhmer
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Fax: +49 (0)621-1235-255
The growth of the German gross domestic product (GDP) will accelerate in 2013. For the first and second quarter of 2013, experts expect a median GDP growth of 0.2 and 0.3 per cent. In the third quarter an increase by 0.4 per cent is expected. This is the result of the analysis of a special question for the quarterly ZEW survey among financial market experts conducted by the Centre for European Economic Research (ZEW) in Mannheim. The participants of the survey are asked to forecast the strength of GDP growth in the previous, the current and the subsequent quarter. In April 2013, 158 financial market experts participated in this survey. read more
In the median, inflation rate in the Eurozone will be two percent in the current year and 2.4 percent in 2012. These are the findings of a survey among 227 financial market experts conducted by the Centre for European Economic Research (ZEW) in Mannheim in February 2011. read more
In the last few weeks, the German stock index DAX has reached new annual peaks time and again. Despite the large increase, there currently is no risk of an economic bubble on the German stock market. Due to good business figures and outlooks for companies, the current price level of stocks is justified and leaves a margin for a further increase. Ninety percent of 234 financial market experts, who were surveyed by the Centre for European Economic Research (ZEW) Mannheim in November 2010, hold this opinion. read more
Now is the right time for politicians to change the course from stimulating the economy, e.g. by providing loan and bail-out programmes, to a policy of savings. This is the opinion of 263 financial market experts who were surveyed by the Centre for European Economic Research (ZEW) in its monthly ZEW Financial Market Test. read more
Many German banks are forced to alter their business models as a result of the international financial market crisis. Retail banking will gain in importance while investment banking will become less important. This is the result of a survey among 274 financial market experts conducted by the Centre for European Economic Research (ZEW) in Mannheim. read more
With an increase of about 5 percent to date, this year's Dax will not even remotely recapture the 30 percent surge in 2003. The financial market survey conducted by the Centre for European Economic Research (ZEW) in Mannheim, Germany, among 252 analysts and insitutional investors indicates that this may similarily hold for 2005. read more
The danger that a collapse of a bank will trigger further breakdowns is not confined to single states anymore. Rather increasing integration of financial markets has created transborder systemic risk in the EU. read more