There is a controversial public debate on the consequences of an increasingly digitalized world of work on the society and economy. In particular, fears are raised that jobs might be increasingly at risk due to the use of machines and intelligent algorithms. In the discussion, macroeconomic adjustment processes are often neglected, such as the creation of new jobs and industries. The project aims at estimation the effects of technological change in form of automization and digitalization on employment, unemployment and wages while taking into account important macroeconomic adjustment processes. The analyses are in especially relevant for the economic and labor market policy, as they provide information on the allocation of the risks and chances of digitalization on workers, on which labor market groups are particularly threatened through potential job losses and on how to successfully cope with the challenge of digitalization.
Selected Publications
Articles in Non-Refereed Journals
Stettes, Oliver, Melanie Arntz, Terry Gregory, Ulrich Zierahn, Katharina Dengler, Daniel Veit, Werner Eichhorst and Ulf Rinne (2017), Arbeitswelt 4.0: Wohlstandszuwachs oder Ungleichheit und Arbeitsplatzverlust – was bringt die Digitalisierung?, ifo Schnelldienst 7, 3-18. Download
Arntz, Melanie, Terry Gregory, Britta Matthes, Florian Lehmer and Ulrich Zierahn (2016), Arbeitswelt 4.0 – Stand der Digitalisierung in Deutschland: Dienstleister haben die Nase vorn, IAB-Kurzbericht 22, 1-8. Download
Discussion and Working Papers
Arnold, Daniel, Melanie Arntz, Terry Gregory, Susanne Steffes and Ulrich Zierahn (2016), Herausforderungen der Digitalisierung für die Zukunft der Arbeitswelt, ZEW policy brief No. 16-08, Mannheim. Download
Expertises
Arntz, Melanie, Terry Gregory and Ulrich Zierahn (2018), Digitalisierung und die Zukunft der Arbeit: Makroökonomische Auswirkungen auf Beschäftigung, Arbeitslosigkeit und Löhne von morgen, Bundesministerium für Forschung und Entwicklung (BMBF), Mannheim. Download
Client
Bundesministerium für Bildung und Forschung
, Bonn
, DE
Sponsor
VDI/VDE Innovation + Technik GmbH, Berlin, DE
Project duration
01.08.2015 - 31.07.2017
Contact
Project members
Prof. Dr. Melanie Arntz
(Coordinator)
Dr. Terry Gregory
(Coordinator)
Dr. Ulrich Zierahn
(Coordinator)