1. 06.05.2015 · ZEW (sel)
    China Economic Panel
    China Economic Panel | Short-term forecast | China | Business Cycle
    China Economic Panel (CEP) of the Centre for European Economic Research (ZEW) and Fudan University (Shanghai).

    The CEP Indicator, which reflects analysts' assessments of the macroeconomic outlook for China for the next twelve months, clearly receded in April 2015. For the current survey period (13th - 25th April, 2015), the indicator has a value of 2.6 points and is thus 11.8 points lower than in March. The increases, which had been achieved over the two previous months, have therefore been re-reduced by half. The April figures considerably undercut the indicator's long-term average of 11.0 points, demonstrating that the indicator’s mid- to long-term downward trend, which has prevailed since autumn 2013, is continuing. One possible reason for the expected slowdown of the Chinese economy is the fact that Chinese exports grew slightly less than expected. Looking at the different regions, the economic downturn is expected to have a particularly large impact on Shanghai.

    Read more

  2. 01.04.2015 · ZEW (sel)
    China Economic Panel
    Short-term forecast | China | China Economic Panel | Business Cycle
    China Economic Panel (CEP) of the Centre for European Economic Research (ZEW) and Fudan University (Shanghai).

    For the second time in a row, the economic expectations of international financial experts for China improved in March 2015. The CEP Indicator, which reflects analysts' assessment of the macroeconomic outlook for China over the next twelve months, increased from 0.0 points to 14.4 points in the current survey period (March 9-25, 2015). This is the highest value since August 2014. The indicator's long-run average is 11.4 points.

    Read more

  3. 04.03.2015 · ZEW (sel)
    China Economic Panel
    Short-term forecast | China | Business survey | China Economic Panel
    China Economic Panel - February 2015.

    The economic outlook for China has slightly improved in February 2015. The CEP Indicator, which reflects the expectations of international financial experts regarding China's macroeconomic development over the next twelve months, increased by 7.6 points to a new level of 0.0 points in the current survey period (February 9-26, 2015). In the previous month, the CEP Indicator was negative for the first time since the start of the survey in mid-2013.

    Read more

  4. 04.02.2015 · ZEW (sel)
    China Economic Panel
    Short-term forecast | China Economic Panel | China
    CEP-Indicator January.

    Economic expectations for China further declined in January 2015. The CEP Indicator, which reflects the expectations of international financial experts regarding China's macroeconomic development over the next twelve months, decreases by 14.2 points to a level of minus 7.6 points in the current survey period (January 12-26, 2015). The CEP Indicator has reached negative territory for the first time since the survey began in 2013 and continues to fall short of its long-term average of 11.9 points. A negative indicator value means that the majority of analysts within the panel expect overall economic activity to shrink.

    Read more

  5. 09.01.2015 · ZEW (sel)
    China Economic Panel
    China | China Economic Panel | Short-term forecast
    CEP-Indicator December.

    After an interim improvement in November, the economic expectations for China slightly declined again towards the end of the year 2014. The CEP Indicator, which reflects expectations of international financial experts regarding China's macroeconomic development over the next twelve months, decreased from 9.8 to 6.6 points in the current survey period (Dec 4-31, 2014). The indicator remains in positive realm but ranks below its long-term average of 13.2 points.

    Read more

  6. 03.12.2014 · ZEW (sel)
    China Economic Panel
    Fudan University | China | Cyclical indicator
    CEP Indicator November.

    Economic expectations for China have improved slightly in comparison to the previous month. The CEP Indicator, which reflects expectations of international financial experts regarding China's macroeconomic development over the next twelve months, has increased from 0.0 to 9.8 points in the current survey period (November 13 to 28, 2014).

    Read more

  7. 05.11.2014 · ZEW (sel)
    China Economic Panel
    Short-term forecast | China | China Economic Panel
    China Economic Panel - October 2014.

    The economic outlook for China continues to be rather bleak. The CEP indicator, which reflects expectations of international financial experts regarding China's economic development over the next twelve months, stands at exactly 0.0 points in the current survey period (October 14 until October 28, 2014). The current value is the lowest level of the CEP indicator since the survey began in mid-2013.

    Read more

  8. 09.10.2014 · ZEW (sel)
    China Economic Panel
    Business Cycle | China Economic Panel | China | Cyclical indicator
    China Economic Panel - September 2014

    After a temporary stabilisation in the past three months, macroeconomic expectations for China have suffered yet another setback, according to the results of the China Economic Panel (CEP). The CEP Indicator, which reflects the assessments of international financial analysts regarding China’s macroeconomic outlook over the next twelve months, has deteriorated by 17.1 points in the current survey period (September 15 to September 30, 2014). Now standing at a level of 1.7 points, the index has dropped below its long-term average of 14.9 points. Moving close to the base line, the indicator is signalling that optimistic and pessimistic experts assessments within the sample are now alsmost balanced. The current value is the lowest of the CEP Indicator since the survey began in mid-2013.

    Read more

  9. 03.09.2014 · ZEW (sel)
    China Economic Panel
    Short-term forecast | China | China Economic Panel | Business Cycle
    China Economic Panel August 2014

    International financial analysts' expectations concerning the macroeconomic development in China remain positive according to the new results of the China Economic Panel (CEP). The CEP Indicator, which reflects the assessments of financial experts regarding the business cycle in China over the course of the next twelve months, decreased by 0.3 points in the current survey period (August 26 to September 1, 2014). At its new level of 18.8 points, the index still outmatches the long-term average of 16.0 points. The CEP Indicator is computed using the margin of optimistic and pessimistic assessments among the panel of experts.

    Read more

  10. 06.08.2014 · ZEW (sel)
    China Economic Panel
    China | China Economic Panel

    The overall macroeconomic outlook for China remains almost unchanged according to the new results of the China Economic Panel (CEP). The CEP Indicator slightly decreased by 2.3 points in the current survey period (July 16 to July 31, 2014). Standing at a level of 19.1 points, the indicator continues to reflect moderate optimism among financial experts regarding the economic development in the world’s second-largest economy over the course of the next twelve months.

    Read more

Contact

Press Officer

Phone: +49 0621 1235-133

sabine.elbert@zew.de