Latest Press Releases

In the most recent January survey (conducted between 3 and 17 January 2017), business expectations for China have declined. The CEP Indicator, which reflects the expectations of international financial market experts regarding China’s macroeconomic development over the coming twelve months, has dropped by 10.9 points compared to November 2016 to a current total of minus 5.9 points. This falls far below the current long-term average of 5.1 points. The assessment of the current economic situation is more positive: at 2.4 points, the corresponding indicator is currently 7.6 points higher compared to November 2016.

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The latest survey carried out in November (14–30 November 2016) indicates that expectations for the Chinese economy continue to improve. The CEP Indicator, which reflects the expectations of international financial market experts regarding China’s macroeconomic development over the coming twelve months, has increased by 5.1 points to a current total of 5.0 points.

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The latest survey carried out between 17 October – 2 November 2016 indicates that expectations for the Chinese economy have slightly recovered from the declines seen in August and September. The CEP Indicator, which reflects the expectations of international financial market experts regarding China's macroeconomic development over the coming twelve months, has increased by 4.0 points to a current total of minus 0.1 points. However, the Indicator still lies significantly below its long-term average of 5.4 points, seen in the period from mid-2013 to October 2016.

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Expectations for the Chinese economy have again worsened in the current survey period (12/09/2016 – 28/09/2016). The CEP Indicator, which reflects the expectations of international financial market experts regarding China’s macroeconomic development over the coming twelve months, has slightly fallen by 2.2 points to a current negative reading of minus 4.1 points. The CEP Indicator therefore currently lies significantly below the long-term average of 5.5 points for the second consecutive time, seen in the period from mid-2013 to September 2016.

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The latest survey carried out in August (17 – 31/08/2016) indicates that expectations for the Chinese economy have worsened. The CEP Indicator, which reflects the expectations of international financial market experts regarding China's macroeconomic development over the coming twelve months, has fallen by 8.5 points to a current negative reading of minus 1.9 points. The CEP Indicator therefore currently lies significantly below the long-term average of 5.8 points, seen in the period from mid 2013 to August 2016.

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The recent survey carried out in July (18 – 27/07/2016) indicates a recovery in expectations for the Chinese economy. The CEP Indicator, which reflects the expectations of international financial market experts regarding China’s macroeconomic development over the coming twelve months, has increased to a current total of 6.6 points. The indicator previously totalled 0 points.

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Expectations concerning the economic development in China have again become more pessimistic in the June CEP survey (June 27 – July 6). The CEP Indicator, which reflects the expectations of international financial market experts regarding China’s macroeconomic development over the coming twelve months, has dropped by 4.1 points to a current reading of exactly zero points.

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Expectations for the Chinese business cycle have slightly worsened in the current survey period (23/05/2016 – 07/06/2016). The CEP Indicator, which reflects the expectations of international financial market experts regarding China’s macroeconomic development over the coming twelve months, has dropped by 5.3 points to a current reading of 4.1 points.

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Expectations regarding the development of the Chinese economy have slightly improved in the current survey period (19/04 – 03/05/2016). Rising to a level of 9.4 points, the CEP Indicator, which reflects the expectations of international financial market experts regarding China’s macroeconomic development over the coming twelve months, has exceeded its long-term average of 6.2 points for the first time in many months.

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The economic policy plans and objectives of the new five-year plan of the Chinese government, have boosted expectations for the Chinese economy. The CEP Indicator, which reflects the expectations of international financial market experts regarding China’s macroeconomic development over the coming twelve months, has risen sharply in the current survey period (03/21/2016 – 04/06/2016), climbing from minus 25.7 points to a level of 3.5 points.

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