1. 25.06.2019 · ZEW (sel)
    China Economic Panel
    China Economic Panel | China | Greater China | Cyclical indicator | Business survey | Short-term forecast
    Economic expectations for China fell by 9.5 points to minus 7.8 points

    According to the most recent survey for June (5–19 June 2019), the economic outlook for China has decreased by 9.5 points to a reading of minus 7.8 points. The indicator thus finds itself once again in negative territory (May 2019: 1.7 points). The CEP Indicator, which reflects the expectations of international financial market experts regarding China’s macroeconomic development over the coming twelve months, has thus been experiencing an almost uninterrupted series of negative readings since April 2018. May 2019 was the only month in which the indicator moved into slightly positive territory for a short period of time.

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  2. 21.05.2019 · ZEW (sel)
    China Economic Panel
    China Economic Panel | China | Short-term forecast | Cyclical indicator | Business survey
    The CEP indicator is back in positive territory for the first time in more than a year

    According to the most recent survey for May (2–16 May 2019), the economic outlook for China has continued to improve. The CEP Indicator, which  which is based on the China Economic Panel and reflects the expectations of international financial market experts regarding China’s macroeconomic development over the coming twelve months, is currently at 1.7 points (April 2019: minus 11.9 points). For the first time since March 2018, the CEP indicator has thus returned to positive territory and almost lies level with its long-term average of 1.8 points. 

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  3. 24.04.2019 · ZEW (msc/sel)
    China Economic Panel
    China Economic Panel | Greater China | Short-term forecast | Cyclical indicator | Business survey
    The CEP indicator currently stands at minus 11.9 points, 13.1 points higher than in the previous month

    According to the most recent survey for April (3–17 April 2019), the economic outlook for China has improved again. The CEP Indicator, which is based on the China Economic Panel and reflects the expectations of international financial market experts regarding China’s macroeconomic development over the coming twelve months, is currently at minus 11.9 points, 13.1 points higher compared to the March survey. Despite this improvement, the indicator remains below its long-term average of 1.8 points and has been doing so for 13 months now. The assessment of the current economic situation has also improved, leaving the index at a level of minus 7.2 points, 6.7 points higher than in the previous month.

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  4. 26.03.2019 · ZEW (sel)
    China Economic Panel
    China Economic Panel | China | Greater China | Business survey | Short-term forecast | Cyclical indicator
    The CEP indicator, which is based on the China Economic Panel, fell by 11.5 points

    According to the most recent survey for March (6–21 March 2019), the expectations regarding the Chinese economy have decreased significantly by 11.5 points. The CEP Indicator, which is based on the China Economic Panel and reflects the expectations of international financial market experts regarding China’s macroeconomic development over the coming twelve months, is currently at minus 25.0 points (February 2019: minus 13.5 points). This marks the twelfth month in a row that the CEP indicator has been below its long-term average.

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  5. 26.02.2019 · ZEW (msc/sel)
    China Economic Panel
    China Economic Panel | Business survey | Greater China | Short-term forecast | Cyclical indicator | China
    The CEP indicator is based on the China Economic Panel

    According to the most recent survey for February (6–21 February 2019), the expectations regarding the Chinese economy have risen by 4.8 points to a reading of minus 13.5 points (January 2019: minus 18.3 points). Despite this renewed increase, the CEP Indicator, which is based on the China Economic Panel and reflects the expectations of international financial market experts regarding China’s macroeconomic development over the coming twelve months, is still in negative territory and remains well below the long-term average of 2.4 points.

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  6. 29.01.2019 · ZEW (sel)
    China Economic Panel
    China Economic Panel | Business survey | Greater China | Short-term forecast | Cyclical indicator | China
    Expectations regarding the Chinese economy have risen by 2.2 points

    In the most recent survey for January (9–24 January 2019), expectations regarding the Chinese economy have risen by 2.2 points, to a new reading of minus 18.3 points (December 2018: minus 20.5 points). Despite the renewed increase, the indicator is still clearly in negative territory and remains well below the long-term average of 2.7 points. This sees the CEP Indicator, which reflects the expectations of international financial market experts regarding China’s macroeconomic development over the coming twelve months, pointing to a prolonged period of economic weakness.

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  7. 18.12.2018 · ZEW (msc/sel)
    China Economic Panel
    China | Cyclical indicator | Short-term forecast | Greater China | Business survey | China Economic Panel
    In December, the CEP Indicator improves, but remains clearly in negative territory with a current reading of minus 20.5 points.

    Expectations regarding the Chinese economy improved in the most recent survey for December (28/11/2018 –13/12/2018). With a current reading of minus 20.5 points, the CEP indicator, which reflects the expectations of international financial market experts regarding China’s macroeconomic development over the coming twelve months, remains, however, clearly in negative territory. Despite its most recent increase of 9.5 points compared to the previous month (November 2018: minus 30.0 points), the indicator continues to signal an economic downturn. The indicator has thus remained well below the long-term average of 3.0 points, which has not been exceeded since March 2018.

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  8. 20.11.2018 · ZEW (sel)
    China Economic Panel
    China | Cyclical indicator | Short-term forecast | Greater China | Business survey | China Economic Panel
    In November, the CEP Indicator has taken a nosedive and stands currently at minus 30.0 points.

    In the most recent survey for November (31/10/2018–14/11/2018), expectations regarding the Chinese economy have taken a nosedive. The CEP Indicator, which reflects the expectations of international financial market experts regarding China’s macroeconomic development over the coming twelve months, has fallen 28 points to a current reading of minus 30.0 points (October 2018: minus 2.0 points). This is the lowest reading since the survey was begun in mid-2013. The indicator is thus once again well below the long-term average of 3.4 points.

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  9. 29.10.2018 · ZEW (sel)
    China Economic Panel
    China Economic Panel | China | Short-term forecast | Cyclical indicator | Business cycle research

    In 2019, the CEP Indicator will be released on the following dates at 10:00 a.m. Frankfurt Time.

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  10. 23.10.2018 · ZEW (sel)
    China Economic Panel
    Business survey | Greater China | Short-term forecast | Cyclical indicator | China
    In October, the CEP Indicator has risen and stands currently at minus 2.0 points.

    In the most recent survey for October (02/10/2018–17/10/2018), expectations regarding the Chinese economy rose again. The CEP Indicator, which reflects the expectations of international financial market experts regarding China’s macroeconomic development over the coming twelve months, has climbed 14 points to a current reading of minus 2.0 points (September 2018: minus 16.0 points). The indicator thus still remains well below the long-term average of 3.9 points. Falling 5.7 points to a level of minus 3.9 points, the assessment of the current economic situation in China was more negative than the previous month.

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