The Centre for European Economic Research (ZEW) observes the economic situation in Germany and the EMU currently. We jugde professional forecasts of several institutions and publish studies on macroeconomic topics in scientific papers and a business report.

Business Cycle Tableaus with Macroeconomic Indicators and Forecasts

From January 2013 on, ZEW will publish monthly business cycle tableaus for Germany and the Eurozone in cooperation with Börsen-Zeitung. The tableaus will show current forecasts for Gross Domestic Product (GDP), its main components, consumer price inflation, industrial production, unemployment rate, short- and long-term interest rates, and interest rate spreads.

Numerous banks and economic research institutes regularly publish reports on the current and future economic situation in Germany and the Eurozone. We scan these publications and compile the relevant information to compute a median, minimum and maximum of the available forecasts for the current and subsequent year. We mainly focus on national business cycle reports and complement the tableaus with forecasts form international banks and institutes. The tableau for the Eurozone is augmented by data from European banks and institutes.

ATTENTION

The publication "Business Cycle and Growth Analysis" was released in December 2013 for the last time.

ZEW-Wachstums- und Konjunkturanalysen Nr. 4 (Dezember) - 2013

This content is available in German only. We apologise for the inconvenience.

Content

  • Leichte Zunahme der Wirtschaftsleistung im Herbst 2013 und gute Aussichten für 2014
  • Die voraussichtliche Lage in der EWU
  • Ergebnisse der Novemberumfrage 2013
  • Gute Stimmung bei Mediendienstleistern
  • Die Bestimmung der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Effekte der Hartz Reformen in Deutschland
  • Untersuchung des Anteils wachstumsfördernder Ausgaben in der EU-Regionalpolitik
  • Produktivitätsverteilung angesichts von Auslandsaktivität und Technologieintensität
  • EU-Kandidat Türkei: wirtschaftliche Perspektiven

More issues in 2013

Contact

Phone: +49 (0)621 1235-368

Fax: +49 (0)621 1235-223

michael.schroeder@zew.de

Phone: + 49 (0)621 1235-148

Fax: + 49 (0)621 1235-223

frank.brueckbauer@zew.de