ZEW Discussion Papers
Bounds Analysis of Competing Risks: A Nonparametric Evaluation of the Effect of Unemployment Benefits on Migration in Germany
Arntz, Melanie, Simon M. S. Lo and Ralf Wilke (2007), Bounds Analysis of Competing Risks: A Nonparametric Evaluation of the Effect of Unemployment Benefits on Migration in Germany, ZEW Discussion Paper No. 07-049, Mannheim. Download
In this paper we derive nonparametric bounds for the cumulative incidence curve within a competing risks model with partly identified interval data. As an advantage
over earlier attempts our approach also gives valid results in case of dependent competing risks. We apply our framework to empirically evaluate the effect of unemployment benefits on observed migration of unemployed workers in Germany. Our findings weakly indicate that reducing the entitlement length for unemployment benefits increases migration
among high-skilled individuals.
Keywords: cumulative incidence curve, partially missing data, bounds analysis, difference-in-difference