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Gunter Grittmann
Head of Information and Communication
E-mail: grittmann@zew.de
Phone: +49 (0)621-1235-132
Fax: +49 (0)621-1235-255
Kathrin Böhmer
Public Relations Officer
E-mail: boehmer@zew.de
Phone: +49 (0)621-1235-103
Fax: +49 (0)621-1235-225
The economic downturn is curbing the freight traffic volume. However, experts expect no decrease in freight volumes but a rather stable demand on most transport markets within the next six months. Expectations concerning the price development vary due to opposing trends induced by demand effects, cost developments, and the respective competitive situations, and are thus quite heterogeneous. Price pressure is coming from the current rise in fuel prices, especially concerning road and air traffic as well as the maritime freight sector. Altogether, a further, yet in most market segments only limited price increase is expected. These are the findings of the ProgTrans/ZEW Transport Market Barometer (TransportmarktBarometer) of the first quarter of 2012. ProgTrans AG, Basel, and the Centre for European Economic Research (ZEW) in Mannheim quarterly survey about 250 experts from the transport and loading industry on the developments of the transport markets and prices in the next six months. read more
The slowdown of the economic growth is still noticeable in the transport markets. The growth of the transport volume both in Germany and for international traffic will significantly decrease in the next six months. The price development will vary between individual transport markets. Altogether, a further, yet decelerated, price increase is expected. These are the findings of the ZEW/ProgTrans TransportmarktBarometer (Transport Market Barometer) in the fourth quarter of 2011. Every quarter, ProgTrans AG in Basel and Centre for European Economic Research (ZEW)in Mannheim survey approx. 250 transport market experts on their assessments for the future development of the transport markets and prices during the next six months. read more
The growth of the transport volume both in Germany and for international traffic will significantly decrease in the next six months. The slowdown of the economic upswing is now being felt in the transport markets. The price increase for transport services will also slow down; road freight and air fright will be least affected. These are the main findings of the ZEW/ProgTrans TransportmarktBarometer (Transport Market Barometer) in the third quarter of 2011. Every quarter, ProgTrans AG, Basel, together with the Centre for European Economic Research (ZEW), Mannheim, survey around 250 transport market experts on their assessments for the future development of the transport markets and prices during the next six months. read more
The catch-up effect visible in freight traffic after the economic and financial crisis continues to decrease in the next six months. The transport volume is still expected to rise, but the intensity varies in the individual transport sectors. Due to the currently high petrol prices, in particular prices in road and air transport will increase. These are the main findings of the ZEW/ProgTrans TransportmarktBarometer (Transport Market Barometer) in the second quarter of 2011. Every quarter, ProgTrans AG, Basel, together with the Centre for European Economic Research (ZEW), Mannheim, survey some 300 transport market experts on their assessments for the future development of the transport markets and prices during the next six months. read more
The catch-up effect visible in freight traffic after the economic and financial crisis will diminish in the next six months. The transport volume will further increase, but not as much as in 2010. The increase in prices will also continue, but depending on the transport sector this increase varies. These are the findings of the TransportmarktBarometer ProgTrans/ZEW (Transport Market Barometer) in the first quarter of 2011. Every three months, ProgTrans AG, Basel, and the Centre for European Economic Research (ZEW), Mannheim, survey around 300 transport market experts on their assessment of the development of transport markets and prices for the next six months. read more
Traffic volume will continue to rise until mid-2011, albeit less than in the two previous quarters. The continuing growth of freight will nevertheless lead to price increases in almost all transport segments in the next six months. These are the core results of the Transport Market Barometer by ProgTrans/ZEW (ZEW/ProgTrans Transportmarktbarometer) in the fourth quarter of 2010. ProgTrans AG, Basel and the Centre for European Economic Research (ZEW), Mannheim ask transport market experts about their assessment of the development of transport markets and prices for the next six months. read more
In most segments of the transport market, demand will grow steadily during the next six months. Due to the increasing demand and the improved capacity utilization, companies using transport services should expect moderately increasing transport prices. These are the core findings of the ProgTrans/ZEW Transportmarktbarometer (Transport Market Barometer) in the third quarter of 2010. Every quarter, ProgTrans AG, Basel, and the Centre for European Economic Research (ZEW), Mannheim, survey around 300 transport market experts on their assessments for the future development of the transport markets and prices during the next six months. read more
In the next six months, an increase in transport volume and prices is expected for the German transport market. This is the finding of the ProgTrans/ZEW Transportmarkt Barometer (Transport Market Barometer) in the second quarter of 2010. ProgTrans AG, Basel, and the Centre for European Economic Research (ZEW), Mannheim, survey about 300 transport market experts every three months to assess the development on the transport markets. read more
In most sectors of German transport, an increase in transport volume and stable to slightly increasing prices are expected for the next six months. Especially the slightly increasing fuel prices and the stable development of transport volume influence the increase in prices. The latter gives transport companies a little scope to increase prices in markets in which there was a lot of competition due to overcapacities. This is the finding of the ProgTrans/ZEW Transportmarkt Barometer (Transport Market Barometer) in the first quarter 2010. ProgTrans AG, Basel, and the Centre for European Economic Research (ZEW), Mannheim, survey about 300 transport market experts to assess the development on the transport markets. read more
The decline in transport due to the economy seems to be over in most sectors of German transport. First signs for an increasing demand in transport were already noticed this summer. This trend is continuing. Prices in transport are going to be more or less stable in the coming six months. Prices are influenced by partly contrary factors: the fuel price has been relatively stable since December 2008 and therefore has not increased the price in transport. In contrast, the increasing transport volume opens up some scopes for price rises in markets, in which, until now, there were overcapacities due to the economic crisis and therefore strong competition. These are the findings of the ProgTrans/ZEW Transportmarktbarometer (Transport Market Barometer) in the fourth quarter 2009. ProgTrans AG, Basel, and the Centre for European Economic Research (ZEW), Mannheim, survey about 300 experts in the field of transport. read more
A considerable percentage of the German transport economy seems to have past the lowest point of the economic crisis with regard to the transport volume. Against the background of better economic outlooks, experts are more optimistic that the transport volume is going to increase over the next six months. However, the outlooks for the individual transport sectors and for the different relations vary. An overall price stability is expected. These are the findings of the ProgTrans/ZEW Transportmarktbarometer (Transport Market Barometer) in the third quarter of 2009. ProgTrans AG, Basel, and the Centre for European Economic Research (ZEW), Mannheim, conduct this quarterly barometer. Around 300 experts in the fields of transport economy and goods cargo participated in this survey. read more
The German transport sector seems to have reached an economic low point in the second quarter 2010. The transport volume in road freight is going to stabilize in the second half of 2009. However, individual transport sectors have to wait for an improvement of the economic situation. In the transport sector, decreasing prices are expected for the next six months. The outlook for each transport sector, however, varies. In the next six months, rail freight and logistics services are expected to have mostly stable prices, road freight and combined traffic, on the other hand, are expected to have slightly decreasing prices. These are the findings of the ZEW/ProgTrans Transportmarktbarometer (Transport Market Barometer) in the second quarter 2009. It is conducted by ProgTrans AG, Basel, and the Centre for European Economic Research (ZEW), Mannheim, every three months and surveys around 300 transport market experts to assess the development on the transport markets. read more
The German transport market is about to experience tough times. Compared to the previous quarters, the amounts of transported goods are expected to fall in the coming six months for almost all forms of transport, including inland navigation, air and maritime transport as well as transport of goods via road or rail. Only the demand for services in the sector of courier-, express- and parcel services (CEP-services) is assessed as stable. The expectations concerning prices have also changed. They are predicted to fall. On the one hand, the decidedly lower fuel expenses are a reason for this. On the other hand, it is problematic for companies in the transport industry to pass on higher costs to their customers by calculating higher road charges or by increasing the costs for the raising of capital. This is because there is a shortage of demand, which leads to rising competition on the market. This is the result of the latest Transportmarktbarometer (Transport Market Barometer), a survey on a three month basis among 300 top executives of the transport and shipper industry in Germany. It is conducted by ProgtTans AG in Basel and the Centre for European Economic Research (ZEW) in Mannheim. read more
The German transport sector has to face a considerably lower transport volume in the next six months. In general, however, lower transport prices are not expected. Experts rather await that the price development differs greatly for the various transport sectors and relations. A reason for this is that currently several influencing quantities overlap. For instance, the increase in HGV toll at the beginning of 2009 is confronted with decreasing petrol prices and an increasing competition due to a decrease in demand. These are the findings of the latest ZEW/ProgTrans transport market barometer, which is conducted every three months by ProgTrans AG, Basel, and the Centre for European Economic Research (ZEW), Mannheim, and surveys 300 transport market experts. read more
Within the next six months the German transport sector will face stagnating and, in some areas, even declining amounts of transported goods. However, transport firms are not likely to reduce prices for their customers. On the contrary, the constantly high prices for diesel fuel, the expected increase in the lorry toll or pay rises, particularly in the sector of courier-, express- and parcel services (CEP-services), will contribute to a further rise in prices. This is the result of the latest Transportmarktbarometer (Transport Market Barometer), a survey on a three month basis among 300 top executives of the transport and shipper industry in Germany. It is conducted by ProgTrans AG in Basel and the Centre for European Economic Research (ZEW) in Mannheim. read more
Despite of the decreasing economic activity and the therefore smaller freight volumes, companies in Germany cannot expect decreasing transport prices within the next six months. On the contrary: except for rail transport, increasing prices are expected for all transport markets. The prices of air and maritime freight within the Asia/Pacific traffic, as well as on the North American route will increase especially strongly. A fundamental reason for this is the fuel prices, which have increased dramatically over the past months. These are the findings of the ProgTrans/ZEW Transportmarkt Barometer (Transport Market Barometer), a survey among 300 managers from the transport and loading industry conducted every quarter by the Centre for European Economic Research (ZEW) in Mannheim, Germany, in cooperation with ProgTrans AG Basel. read more