Gunter Grittmann
Head of Information and Communication
E-mail: grittmann@zew.de
Phone: +49 (0)621-1235-132
Fax: +49 (0)621-1235-255
Kathrin Böhmer
Public Relations Officer
E-mail: boehmer@zew.de
Phone: +49 (0)621-1235-103
Fax: +49 (0)621-1235-255
In the coming six months, transport volumes will remain broadly stable in the German transport sector, thereby leaving a relatively small margin for price increases in this period of time. In most transport sectors, prices will rise only slightly or remain on their current level. The only sector that faces significant increases in transport demand and prices is intercontinental air and sea freight. These are the findings of the ProgTrans/ZEW TransportmarktBarometer (Transport Market Barometer) in the first quarter of 2013. In this survey, ProgTrans AG, Basel, and the Centre for European Economic Research (ZEW) in Mannheim interview some 250 top executives from the transport and loading industry on a quarterly basis about their assessment regarding the development of transport markets and prices on a six-month horizon. read more
The assessment of the economic situation in Germany remains pessimistic and affects transport markets. Stagnating or even decreasing transport volumes are hence expected in the coming six months. Prices for freight transport in the various transport sectors will develop heterogeneously in the light of demand, cost trends and the competitive environment. Despite the reduction of freight volumes, a price increase is expected in most transport sectors – even more so as the fuel price, a significant cost driver, has grown recently. These are the findings of the ProgTrans/ZEW Transportmarktbarometer (Transport Market Barometer) in the fourth quarter of 2012. In this survey, ProgTrans AG, Basel, and the Centre for European Economic Research (ZEW) interview some 250 top executives from the transport and loading industry on a quarterly basis about their assessment regarding the development of transport markets and prices on a six-month horizon. read more
The tarnished situation of the German economy is affecting the transport markets. The experts of the ProgTrans/ZEW TransportmarktBarometer habe, an any rate, never assessed freight volumes for the six months to come more cautiously since mid-2009. read more
A moderate increase of freight transportation prices in Germany can be expected in the six months to come. At the same time, freight volumes indicate a slight increase of demand in most transport sectors. The majority of experts, however, expect a stronger increase in prices than in volumes and regard fuel prices as the major cost drivers. High prices for fuel are apparently passed along to customers. These are the findings of the ProgTrans/ZEW TransportBarometer (Transport Market Barometer) in the second quarter of 2012. read more
The economic downturn is curbing the freight traffic volume. However, experts expect no decrease in freight volumes but a rather stable demand on most transport markets within the next six months. Expectations concerning the price development vary due to opposing trends induced by demand effects, cost developments, and the respective competitive situations, and are thus quite heterogeneous. Price pressure is coming from the current rise in fuel prices, especially concerning road and air traffic as well as the maritime freight sector. Altogether, a further, yet in most market segments only limited price increase is expected. These are the findings of the ProgTrans/ZEW Transport Market Barometer (TransportmarktBarometer) of the first quarter of 2012. ProgTrans AG, Basel, and the Centre for European Economic Research (ZEW) in Mannheim quarterly survey about 250 experts from the transport and loading industry on the developments of the transport markets and prices in the next six months. read more
The slowdown of the economic growth is still noticeable in the transport markets. The growth of the transport volume both in Germany and for international traffic will significantly decrease in the next six months. The price development will vary between individual transport markets. Altogether, a further, yet decelerated, price increase is expected. These are the findings of the ZEW/ProgTrans TransportmarktBarometer (Transport Market Barometer) in the fourth quarter of 2011. Every quarter, ProgTrans AG in Basel and Centre for European Economic Research (ZEW)in Mannheim survey approx. 250 transport market experts on their assessments for the future development of the transport markets and prices during the next six months. read more
The growth of the transport volume both in Germany and for international traffic will significantly decrease in the next six months. The slowdown of the economic upswing is now being felt in the transport markets. The price increase for transport services will also slow down; road freight and air fright will be least affected. These are the main findings of the ZEW/ProgTrans TransportmarktBarometer (Transport Market Barometer) in the third quarter of 2011. Every quarter, ProgTrans AG, Basel, together with the Centre for European Economic Research (ZEW), Mannheim, survey around 250 transport market experts on their assessments for the future development of the transport markets and prices during the next six months. read more
The catch-up effect visible in freight traffic after the economic and financial crisis continues to decrease in the next six months. The transport volume is still expected to rise, but the intensity varies in the individual transport sectors. Due to the currently high petrol prices, in particular prices in road and air transport will increase. These are the main findings of the ZEW/ProgTrans TransportmarktBarometer (Transport Market Barometer) in the second quarter of 2011. Every quarter, ProgTrans AG, Basel, together with the Centre for European Economic Research (ZEW), Mannheim, survey some 300 transport market experts on their assessments for the future development of the transport markets and prices during the next six months. read more
The catch-up effect visible in freight traffic after the economic and financial crisis will diminish in the next six months. The transport volume will further increase, but not as much as in 2010. The increase in prices will also continue, but depending on the transport sector this increase varies. These are the findings of the TransportmarktBarometer ProgTrans/ZEW (Transport Market Barometer) in the first quarter of 2011. Every three months, ProgTrans AG, Basel, and the Centre for European Economic Research (ZEW), Mannheim, survey around 300 transport market experts on their assessment of the development of transport markets and prices for the next six months. read more
Traffic volume will continue to rise until mid-2011, albeit less than in the two previous quarters. The continuing growth of freight will nevertheless lead to price increases in almost all transport segments in the next six months. These are the core results of the Transport Market Barometer by ProgTrans/ZEW (ZEW/ProgTrans Transportmarktbarometer) in the fourth quarter of 2010. ProgTrans AG, Basel and the Centre for European Economic Research (ZEW), Mannheim ask transport market experts about their assessment of the development of transport markets and prices for the next six months. read more
In most segments of the transport market, demand will grow steadily during the next six months. Due to the increasing demand and the improved capacity utilization, companies using transport services should expect moderately increasing transport prices. These are the core findings of the ProgTrans/ZEW Transportmarktbarometer (Transport Market Barometer) in the third quarter of 2010. Every quarter, ProgTrans AG, Basel, and the Centre for European Economic Research (ZEW), Mannheim, survey around 300 transport market experts on their assessments for the future development of the transport markets and prices during the next six months. read more
In the next six months, an increase in transport volume and prices is expected for the German transport market. This is the finding of the ProgTrans/ZEW Transportmarkt Barometer (Transport Market Barometer) in the second quarter of 2010. ProgTrans AG, Basel, and the Centre for European Economic Research (ZEW), Mannheim, survey about 300 transport market experts every three months to assess the development on the transport markets. read more
In most sectors of German transport, an increase in transport volume and stable to slightly increasing prices are expected for the next six months. Especially the slightly increasing fuel prices and the stable development of transport volume influence the increase in prices. The latter gives transport companies a little scope to increase prices in markets in which there was a lot of competition due to overcapacities. This is the finding of the ProgTrans/ZEW Transportmarkt Barometer (Transport Market Barometer) in the first quarter 2010. ProgTrans AG, Basel, and the Centre for European Economic Research (ZEW), Mannheim, survey about 300 transport market experts to assess the development on the transport markets. read more
The decline in transport due to the economy seems to be over in most sectors of German transport. First signs for an increasing demand in transport were already noticed this summer. This trend is continuing. Prices in transport are going to be more or less stable in the coming six months. Prices are influenced by partly contrary factors: the fuel price has been relatively stable since December 2008 and therefore has not increased the price in transport. In contrast, the increasing transport volume opens up some scopes for price rises in markets, in which, until now, there were overcapacities due to the economic crisis and therefore strong competition. These are the findings of the ProgTrans/ZEW Transportmarktbarometer (Transport Market Barometer) in the fourth quarter 2009. ProgTrans AG, Basel, and the Centre for European Economic Research (ZEW), Mannheim, survey about 300 experts in the field of transport. read more
A considerable percentage of the German transport economy seems to have past the lowest point of the economic crisis with regard to the transport volume. Against the background of better economic outlooks, experts are more optimistic that the transport volume is going to increase over the next six months. However, the outlooks for the individual transport sectors and for the different relations vary. An overall price stability is expected. These are the findings of the ProgTrans/ZEW Transportmarktbarometer (Transport Market Barometer) in the third quarter of 2009. ProgTrans AG, Basel, and the Centre for European Economic Research (ZEW), Mannheim, conduct this quarterly barometer. Around 300 experts in the fields of transport economy and goods cargo participated in this survey. read more
The German transport sector seems to have reached an economic low point in the second quarter 2010. The transport volume in road freight is going to stabilize in the second half of 2009. However, individual transport sectors have to wait for an improvement of the economic situation. In the transport sector, decreasing prices are expected for the next six months. The outlook for each transport sector, however, varies. In the next six months, rail freight and logistics services are expected to have mostly stable prices, road freight and combined traffic, on the other hand, are expected to have slightly decreasing prices. These are the findings of the ZEW/ProgTrans Transportmarktbarometer (Transport Market Barometer) in the second quarter 2009. It is conducted by ProgTrans AG, Basel, and the Centre for European Economic Research (ZEW), Mannheim, every three months and surveys around 300 transport market experts to assess the development on the transport markets. read more
The German transport market is about to experience tough times. Compared to the previous quarters, the amounts of transported goods are expected to fall in the coming six months for almost all forms of transport, including inland navigation, air and maritime transport as well as transport of goods via road or rail. Only the demand for services in the sector of courier-, express- and parcel services (CEP-services) is assessed as stable. The expectations concerning prices have also changed. They are predicted to fall. On the one hand, the decidedly lower fuel expenses are a reason for this. On the other hand, it is problematic for companies in the transport industry to pass on higher costs to their customers by calculating higher road charges or by increasing the costs for the raising of capital. This is because there is a shortage of demand, which leads to rising competition on the market. This is the result of the latest Transportmarktbarometer (Transport Market Barometer), a survey on a three month basis among 300 top executives of the transport and shipper industry in Germany. It is conducted by ProgtTans AG in Basel and the Centre for European Economic Research (ZEW) in Mannheim. read more
The German transport sector has to face a considerably lower transport volume in the next six months. In general, however, lower transport prices are not expected. Experts rather await that the price development differs greatly for the various transport sectors and relations. A reason for this is that currently several influencing quantities overlap. For instance, the increase in HGV toll at the beginning of 2009 is confronted with decreasing petrol prices and an increasing competition due to a decrease in demand. These are the findings of the latest ZEW/ProgTrans transport market barometer, which is conducted every three months by ProgTrans AG, Basel, and the Centre for European Economic Research (ZEW), Mannheim, and surveys 300 transport market experts. read more
Within the next six months the German transport sector will face stagnating and, in some areas, even declining amounts of transported goods. However, transport firms are not likely to reduce prices for their customers. On the contrary, the constantly high prices for diesel fuel, the expected increase in the lorry toll or pay rises, particularly in the sector of courier-, express- and parcel services (CEP-services), will contribute to a further rise in prices. This is the result of the latest Transportmarktbarometer (Transport Market Barometer), a survey on a three month basis among 300 top executives of the transport and shipper industry in Germany. It is conducted by ProgTrans AG in Basel and the Centre for European Economic Research (ZEW) in Mannheim. read more
Despite of the decreasing economic activity and the therefore smaller freight volumes, companies in Germany cannot expect decreasing transport prices within the next six months. On the contrary: except for rail transport, increasing prices are expected for all transport markets. The prices of air and maritime freight within the Asia/Pacific traffic, as well as on the North American route will increase especially strongly. A fundamental reason for this is the fuel prices, which have increased dramatically over the past months. These are the findings of the ProgTrans/ZEW Transportmarkt Barometer (Transport Market Barometer), a survey among 300 managers from the transport and loading industry conducted every quarter by the Centre for European Economic Research (ZEW) in Mannheim, Germany, in cooperation with ProgTrans AG Basel. read more
The insecurity due to the future economic and trade development – the major factors of transport demand – does not leave transport markets unaffected. During the next six months, the expected growth of transport volume is much smaller than forecasted last year, especially in the sectors courier, express and package services (CEP) as well as in European and North American sea and air freight. Transport prices will also be affected: On a six months time horizon they will increase only moderately. read more
A permanent movement of numerous rail users to road and inland waterway traffic due to the train drivers’ strike in the freight services of Deutsche Bahn is not to be expected. This is the result of a special question asked in the course of the recent TransportmarktBarometer ProgTrans/ZEW (Transport Market Barometer), a quarterly survey among around 300 transport market experts on their assessment of the development of transport markets and prices for the next six months. The survey was conducted by the Centre for European Economic Research (ZEW) in Mannheim and ProgTrans AG, Basel in the fourth quarter of 2007. read more
German rail and road freight, intercontinental air freight to Europe, North America and the Asia-Pacific region as well as courier, express and parcel services (CEP) will have to face price increases by the coming six months. These are the findings of the current ZEW/ProgTrans Transportmarktbarometer (Transport Market Barometer) in the third quarter of 2007. ProgTrans AG, Basel, and the Centre for European Economic Research (ZEW), Mannheim, surveyed around 300 transport market experts on their assessment of the development of transport markets and prices for the next six months. read more
In Germany, the costs for road transport will significantly grow in the next six months. For international combined traffic as well as intercontinental air and see freight relations comparably high price increases are expected. On the other hand, the situation in rail transport and courier, express and package services (CEP) is a completely different one. In these areas the price situation is likely to ease over the coming six months. read more
The German loading industry still has to anticipate rising prices, even if the price increases in general will diminish over the coming six months. These are the findings of the ProgTrans/ZEW Transportmarktbarometer (Transport Market Barometer), a quarterly survey among 300 top executives from the transport and loading industry, conducted by ProgTrans AG, Basel, and the Centre for European Economic Research (ZEW) in Mannheim. read more