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Dr. Marcus Kappler [ D ]
Dr. Marcus Kappler

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Dr. Marcus Kappler

Marcus Kappler is a former member of the ZEW staff. The Information on this site reflects the status at the point of leaving the ZEW.

Selected Publications

Publications in refereed Journals

Kappler, Marcus, Helmut Reisen, Moritz Schularick and Edouard Turkisch (2013), The Macroeconomic Effects of Large Exchange Rate Appreciations, Open Economies Review 24(3), 471-494. Download

Hogrefe, Jan and Marcus Kappler (2013), The Labour Share of Income: Heterogeneous Causes for Parallel Movements?, Journal of Economic Inequality 11 (3), 303-319. Download

van Aarle, Bas and Marcus Kappler (2012), Economic Sentiment Shocks and Fluctuations in Economic Activity in the Euro Area and the USA, Intereconomics 47 (1), 44-51. Download

Kappler, Marcus (2011), Business Cycle Co-movement and Trade Intensity in the Euro Area: is there a Dynamic Link?, Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbücher für Nationalökonomie und Statistik) 231/2, 247-265.

Weyerstrass, Klaus, Bas van Aarle, Marcus Kappler and Atilim Seymen (2011), Business Cycle Synchronisation with(in) the Euro Area: In Search of a ‘Euro Effect' , Open Economies Review 22(3), 427-446. Download

Kappler, Marcus (2009), Do Hours Worked Contain a Unit Root? Evidence from Panel Data, Empirical Economics 36 (3), 531-555. Download

Ager, Philipp, Marcus Kappler and Steffen Osterloh (2009), The Accuracy and Efficiency of the Consensus Forecasts: A Further Application and Extension of the Pooled Approach, International Journal of Forecasting 25(1), 167-181.

Kappler, Marcus (2006), Wie genau sind die Konjunkturprognosen der Institute für Deutschland?, List Forum für Wirtschafts- und Finanzpolitik 32, 175-189.

Publications in Journals

Busl, Claudia, Sabine Jokisch, Marcus Kappler and Frauke Schleer (2012), Sparen und Investieren vor dem Hintergrund des demografischen Wandels, Monatsbericht des BMF September 2012.

Kappler, Marcus (2006), Perspektiven für Europas Wirtschaftswachstum, integration 3, 260-266.

Monographs, Articles in Anthologies

Kappler, Marcus and Andreas Sachs eds. (2012), Business Cycle Synchronisation and Economic Integration, ZEW Economic Studies, Bd. 45, Heidelberg.

Hauptmeier, Sebastian, Friedrich Heinemann, Qingwei Wang, Andreas Schrimpf, Hans-Michael Trautwein, Marcus Kappler and Margit Kraus (2009), Projecting Potential Output, ZEW Economic Studies, Bd. 42, Heidelberg. Download

Seymen, Atilim and Marcus Kappler (2008), An Investigation on the Role of Global and Country-Specific Shocks in Business Cycle Dynamics of the G7 Countries, in: Workshop on Methods and Applications for Macroeconomics and Finance Proceedings, Izmir, 212-240.

Böhringer, Fritz, Bernhard Boockmann, Christina Elschner, Sebastian Hauptmeier, Friedrich Heinemann, Marcus Kappler, Michael Overesch and Timo Reister (2008), Grenzsteuern, Arbeitsangebot und Wirtschaftswachstum, ZEW Wirtschaftsanalysen, Bd. 89, Baden-Baden.

Schröder, Michael, Marcus Kappler and Andreas Schrimpf (2008), Bewertung der Prognosegüte, in: Klaus-Jürgen Gern, Torsten Schmidt und Michael Schröder, Mittelfristige gesamtwirtschaftliche Prognosen, 1. Auflage, Ein internationaler Vergleich der Modelle und Prognosegüte, Weinheim, 175-304.

Kappler, Marcus (2007), Estimating and Forecasting Trend Output and Modelling Labor Input : Application of Panel Techniques and Factor Models, Frankfurt am Main. Download

Kappler, Marcus and Daniel Radowski (2003), Der Außenhandelskanal, in: Schröder, Michael und Peter Westerheide, Finanzmärkte, Unternehmen und Vertrauen. Neue Wege der internationalen Konjunkturübertragung, ZEW Wirtschaftsanalysen, Bd. 68, Baden-Baden, S. 173-198.

Discussion Papers and Working Papers

Busl, Claudia and Marcus Kappler (2013), Does Foreign Direct Investment Synchronise Business Cycles? Results from a Panel Approach, WWWforEurope Working Papers, No. 23. Download

Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens, Nils Jannsen, Klaus-Jürgen Gern, Dominik Groll, Marcus Kappler, Stefan Kooths, Andreas Sachs and Joachim Scheide (2013), Mittelfristprojektion für Deutschland: Hochkonjunktur bei mäßigem Potenzialwachstum, Kieler Diskussionsbeitrag 520/521, Kiel. Download

Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens, Nils Jannsen, Klaus-Jürgen Gern, Dominik Groll, Marcus Kappler, Stefan Kooths, Andreas Sachs and Joachim Scheide (2013), Mittelfristprojektion für Deutschland: Überhitzungsgefahren bei schwachem Wachstum, Kieler Diksussionsbeitrag 528/529. Download

Kappler, Marcus and Frauke Schleer (2013), How Many Factors and Shocks Cause Financial Stress?, ZEW Discussion Paper No. 13-100, Mannheim. Download

Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens, Nils Jannsen, Klaus-Jürgen Gern, Marcus Kappler, Stefan Kooths, Andreas Sachs and Joachim Scheide (2012), Mittelfristprojektion für Deutschland: Potential wächst mit leicht steigender Tendenz, Kieler Diskussionsbeitrag 512/513, Kiel. Download

Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens , Klaus-Jürgen Gern, Marcus Kappler, Stefan Kooths, Andreas Sachs and Joachim Scheide (2012), Mittelfristprojektion für Deutschland: Schwaches Potentialwachstum, aber kräftige konjunkturelle Expansion, Kieler Diskussionsbeitrag 504/505, Kiel. Download

Kappler, Marcus, Helmut Reisen, Moritz Schularick and Edouard Turkisch (2011), The Macroeconomic Effects of Large Currency Appreciations, OECD Development Centre Working Paper No. 296, Paris. Download

Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens, Klaus-Jürgen Gern, Marcus Kappler, Stefan Kooths, Andreas Sachs and Joachim Scheide (2011), Mittelfristprojektion für Deutschland: Mäßiges Potentialwachstum und Hochkonjunktur im Wartestand, Kiel. Download

Boss, Alfred, Dominik Groll, Marcus Kappler, Stefan Kooths, Andreas Sachs and Joachim Scheide (2011), Mittelfristprojektion für Deutschland: Potentialwachstum bleibt moderat – Kapazitäten bleiben angespannt, Kieler Diskussionsbeiträge Nr. 490/491, Kiel. Download

van Aarle, Bas and Marcus Kappler (2011), Fiscal Adjustment in Greece: In Search for Sustainable Public Finances, ZEW Discussion Paper No. 11-080, Mannheim. Download

Kappler, Marcus, Helmut Reisen, Moritz Schularick and Edouard Turkisch (2011), The Macroeconomic Effects of Large Exchange Rate Appreciations, ZEW Discussion Paper No. 11-016, Mannheim. Download

Hogrefe, Jan and Marcus Kappler (2010), The Labour Share of Income: Heterogeneous Causes for Parallel Movements?, ZEW Discussion Paper No. 10-024, Mannheim. Download

Seymen, Atilim and Marcus Kappler (2009), The Role of Structural Common and Country-Specific Shocks in the Business Cycle Dynamics of the G7 Countries , ZEW Discussion Paper No. 09-015, Mannheim. Download

Kappler, Marcus (2007), Projecting the Medium-Term: Outcomes and Errors for GDP Growth, ZEW Discussion Paper No. 07-068, Mannheim. Download

Ager, Philipp, Marcus Kappler and Steffen Osterloh (2007), The Accuracy and Efficiency of the Consensus Forecasts: A Further Application and Extension of the Pooled Approach, ZEW Discussion Paper No. 07-058, Mannheim. Download

Kappler, Marcus (2006), Panel Tests for Unit Roots in Hours Worked, ZEW Discussion Paper No. 06-022, Mannheim. Download

Kappler, Marcus (2006), Wie genau sind die Konjunkturprognosen der Institute für Deutschland?, ZEW Discussion Paper No. 06-004, Mannheim. Download

Kappler, Marcus (2004), Determination of Potential Growth Using Panel Techniques, ZEW Discussion Paper No. 04-69, Mannheim. Download

Kappler, Marcus and Peter Westerheide (2003), Aktienmärkte und Beschäftigung. Eine Analyse aus makro- und mikroökonomischer Perspektive, Deutsche Börse Research Paper, Frankfurt a. M. Download

Expertises

Fuest, Clemens, Friedrich Heinemann, Jan Hogrefe, Marcus Kappler, Marc-Daniel Moessinger, Frauke Schleer, Atilim Seymen and Christoph Schröder (2014), Die Krise im Euroraum nachhaltig überwinden, Fortschritte in den Krisenländern und institutionelle Herausforderungen, vbw - Vereinigung der Bayerischen Wirtschaft e.V., München. Download

Bertschek, Irene, Jörg Ohnemus, Daniel Erdsiek, Jan Hogrefe, Marcus Kappler, Simone Kimpeler, Christian Rammer and Erduana Shala (2014), Monitoring zu ausgewählten wirtschaftlichen Eckdaten der Kultur- und Kreativwirtschaft 2012, Bundesministerium für Wirtschaft und Energie, Berlin. Download

Achtnicht, Martin, Bernhard Boockmann, Mariela Borell, Konstantin Gantert, Gabor Hunya, Marcus Kappler, Günther Klee, Raimund Krumm, Bettina Müller, Katja Neugebauer, Dragos Pislaru, Roman Römisch and Hermine Vidovic (2014), Socio-Economic Assessment of the Danube Region: State of the Region, Challenges and Strategy Development, Baden-Wuerttemberg Ministry of Finance and Economics on behalf of the European Commission, Mannheim, Tübingen, Wien. Download

Schleer, Frauke, Leonhard Brinster and Marcus Kappler (2013), Eine Auswertung der Prognosegüte des ZEW-Konjunkturtableaus für Deutschland, Mannheim. Download

Kappler, Marcus, Jan Hogrefe, Steffen Osterloh, Andreas Sachs, Atilim Seymen and Martin Scheffel (2012), Study on Demographics and the Future of EU Structural Funding, Federal Ministry of the Interior, Berlin. Download

Bonin, Holger, Dominik Groll, Marcus Kappler, Stefan Kooths and Andreas Sachs (2012), Forschungsbericht: Konjunkturimpulse durch Fachkräftesicherung, Bundesministerium für Arbeit und Soziales, Berlin. Download

Kappler, Marcus, Jan Hogrefe, Steffen Osterloh, Andreas Sachs, Atilim Seymen and Martin Scheffel (2012), Studie zum Thema Demografie und zukünftige EU-Strukturfondsförderung, Bundesministerium des Inneren, Berlin. Download

Busl, Claudia, Zwetelina Iliewa, Sabine Jokisch, Marcus Kappler, Thomas Roscher, Felix Schindler and Frauke Schleer (2012), Sparen und Investieren vor dem Hintergrund des demografischen Wandels, Bundesministerium der Finanzen, Berlin. Download

Kappler, Marcus, Tim-Alexander Kröncke, Felix Schindler, Frauke Schleer, Atilim Seymen and Peter Westerheide (2011), Housing Markets and Intra-Euro Area Macroeconomic Imbalances: Identifying Policy Instruments, European Commission - Directorate General for Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), Mannheim.

Kappler, Marcus, Holger Bonin and Andreas Sachs (2011), Forschungsbericht: Wertschöpfungseffekte der Fachkräftesicherung, Mannheim. Download

Franz, Wolfgang, Alisher Aldashev, Marcus Kappler and Atilim Seymen (2009), Analyse und Schätzung der strukturellen Arbeitslosigkeit in Deutschland zur Verbesserung der methodischen Grundlagen für die Berechnung des strukturellen Defizits und die Tragfähigkeitsanalysen, Bundesministerium der Finanzen, Berlin.

Aretz, Bodo, Claudia Busl, Nicole Gürtzgen, Jan Hogrefe, Marcus Kappler, Susanne Steffes and Peter Westerheide (2009), Ursachenanalyse der Verschiebung in der funktionalen Einkommensverteilung in Deutschland, Mannheim. Download

Heinemann, Friedrich, Andreas Ammermüller, Jürgen Egeln, Marcus Kappler, Margit Kraus, Hendrik Lambrecht, Georg Licht, Christian Rammer, Klaus Rennings and Tobias Schmidt (2004), Eignung von Strukturindikatoren als Instrument zur Bewertung der ökonomischen Performance der EU-Mitgliedstaaten, Mannheim. Download

Heinemann, Friedrich, Andreas Ammermüller, Marcus Kappler, Margit Kraus, Hendrik Lambrecht, Georg Licht, Christian Rammer, Klaus Rennings and Tobias Schmidt (2004), The Suitability of Structural Indicators for the Assessment of EU Countries' Economic Performance with a Particular Focus on Economic Reforms, An Evaluation of EU Structural Indicators and Options for Improvement, Bundesministerium der Finanzen, Mannheim. Download

Organisation of academic conferences and workshops

Dr. Marcus Kappler, Claudia Busl, Dr. Andreas Sachs, Frauke Schleer, Dr. Jan Hogrefe, Dr. Atilim Seymen,
Conference, 4th Conference on Recent Developments in Macroeconomics,
ZEW Mannheim, Germany, 2013

Dr. Marcus Kappler, Willi Semmler (New School University New York), Timo Teräsvirta (Aarhus University and CREATES), Peter Winker (Universität Gießen), Frauke Schleer,
Workshop, SEEK Workshop on Non-Linear Economic Modelling: Theory and Applications,
ZEW Mannheim, Germany, 2012

Dr. Marcus Kappler, Claudia Busl, Dr. Atilim Seymen, Dr. Andreas Sachs, Dr. Jan Hogrefe, Frauke Schleer,
Conference, 3rd Conference on Recent Developments in Macroeconomics,
ZEW Mannheim, Germany, 2012

Dr. Atilim Seymen, Dr. Marcus Kappler, Claudia Busl,
ZEW Summer Workshop, 13th ZEW Summer Workshop on "International Business Cycles",
ZEW Mannheim, Germany, 2011

Publishing activities for journals/series

2011 - until now: Co-editor,
Economics - The Open-Access Open-Assessment E-Journal

Projects

Current Projects

Monitoring the German Cultural and Creative Economy

SEEK-Project 2013: A New International Division of Labour – Adjustments in European Regions

What is the Impact on Potential Output of the Crises in the Eurozone?

Finished Projects

Methoden mittelfristiger gesamtwirtschaftlicher Projektionen

Analysis and Estimation of the Structural Unemployment in Germany to Improve the Methods for Evaluation of the Structural Deficit and Potential Output

Benchmark Study for Family Owned Companies

Developing Macroeconomic Models of the Long-Run.

Development study LiMa-Benchmark

Did the labour market de-couple from movements of the real aconomy?

e-Frame: European Framework for Measuring Progress

Early Bird 2010

Early detection system

Evonik-specific Early Warning System

Extension of the Early Bird models

Growth effects of higher labor force participation of older workers in Germany

Housing Markets and Intra-euro area Macroeconomic Imbalances: Identifying Policy Instruments

International Leading Indicators for the Chemical Sector

Investigating the shift in the factor income distribution in Germany

Joint Diagnosis, Spring and Autumn

Labor market institutions and skill-specific unemployment

Marginal tax rates, labour supply and economic growth

Methodical Problems of Medium-term Projections using the Example of Potential Output

Network Growth and Business Cycle Analyses

New transmission mechanisms in a global economy

Saving and Investment against the background of the demographic change

SEEK-Project 2012: Financial Stress and Economic Dynamics: Asymmetries Within and Across Euro Area Countries

Stock Markets and Employment

Study on demographic change and the future of EU cohesion policy

Study on economic integration and business cycle synchronization

Sustainably Overcoming the Crisis in the Euro-Zone: Progress in the Crisis-Countries and Institutional Challenges

The Influence of FDI on the Synchronization of Business Cycles: A Panel approach

The partisan effects on the economic expectations of firms and households

The Suitability of Structural Indicators as an Instrument to Evaluate the Economic Performance of EU Member States

Update 2008 of the Country Index for Family Enterprises

ZEW-Growth Monitor


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