Curriculum Vitae
Selected Publications
Organisation of academic conferences and workshops
Publishing activities for journals/series
Projects

[ D ]: Dr. Marcus Kappler

E-Mail:
kappler@zew.de
Tel: +49 (0)621 1235-157
Fax: +49 (0)621 1235-223

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Dr. Marcus Kappler

Growth and Business Cycles
Deputy

Marcus Kappler is deputy head of the research group "Business Cycles and Growth" and senior researcher at the Centre for European Economic Research (ZEW) in Mannheim, Germany.
He studied economics at the universities of Tübingen and Maryland, USA, and obtained a diploma from the Free University in Berlin in 2002. In 2007, Marcus Kappler completed his doctoral studies at the University of Frankfurt.
He has been employed at the ZEW since 2002 and has been working there in several research departments. Besides the application and development of cross sectional time series methods, his research interests are in empirical and theoretical concepts to separate business cycles from long-run trends and the measurement of macroeconomic imbalances.
He was project manager of several studies commissioned by the German Federal Ministry of Economics and Technology, the German Federal Ministry of Finance, and the European Commission. These studies involved analysis of international business cycle linkages with a special focus on the EU and the new member states and assessments of methods to estimate potential output, output gaps and structural unemployment.

Selected Publications

Publications in refereed Journals

Kappler, Marcus, Helmut Reisen, Moritz Schularick and Edouard Turkisch (2013), The Macroeconomic Effects of Large Exchange Rate Appreciations, Open Economies Review 24(3), 471-494. Download

Hogrefe, Jan and Marcus Kappler (2012), The Labour Share of Income: Heterogeneous Causes for Parallel Movements?, Journal of Economic Inequality, DOI: 10.1007/s10888-012-9221-8. Download

van Aarle, Bas and Marcus Kappler (2012), Economic Sentiment Shocks and Fluctuations in Economic Activity in the Euro Area and the USA, Intereconomics 47 (1), 44-51. Download

Kappler, Marcus (2011), Business Cycle Co-movement and Trade Intensity in the Euro Area: is there a Dynamic Link?, Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbücher für Nationalökonomie und Statistik) 231/2, 247-265.

Weyerstrass, Klaus, Bas van Aarle, Marcus Kappler and Atilim Seymen (2011), Business Cycle Synchronisation with(in) the Euro Area: In Search of a ‘Euro Effect' , Open Economies Review 22(3), 427-446. Download

Kappler, Marcus (2009), Do Hours Worked Contain a Unit Root? Evidence from Panel Data, Empirical Economics 36 (3), 531-555. Download

Ager, Philipp, Marcus Kappler and Steffen Osterloh (2009), The Accuracy and Efficiency of the Consensus Forecasts: A Further Application and Extension of the Pooled Approach, International Journal of Forecasting 25(1), 167-181.

Kappler, Marcus (2006), Wie genau sind die Konjunkturprognosen der Institute für Deutschland?, List Forum für Wirtschafts- und Finanzpolitik 32, 175-189.

Publications in Journals

Busl, Claudia, Sabine Jokisch, Marcus Kappler and Frauke Schleer (2012), Sparen und Investieren vor dem Hintergrund des demografischen Wandels, Monatsbericht des BMF September 2012.

Kappler, Marcus (2006), Perspektiven für Europas Wirtschaftswachstum, integration 3, 260-266.

Monographs, Articles in Anthologies

Kappler, Marcus and Andreas Sachs eds. (2012), Business Cycle Synchronisation and Economic Integration, ZEW Economic Studies, Bd. 45, Heidelberg.

Hauptmeier, Sebastian, Friedrich Heinemann, Qingwei Wang, Andreas Schrimpf, Hans-Michael Trautwein, Marcus Kappler and Margit Kraus (2009), Projecting Potential Output, ZEW Economic Studies, Bd. 42, Heidelberg. Download

Seymen, Atilim and Marcus Kappler (2008), An Investigation on the Role of Global and Country-Specific Shocks in Business Cycle Dynamics of the G7 Countries, in: Workshop on Methods and Applications for Macroeconomics and Finance Proceedings, Izmir, 212-240.

Böhringer, Fritz, Bernhard Boockmann, Christina Elschner, Sebastian Hauptmeier, Friedrich Heinemann, Marcus Kappler, Michael Overesch and Timo Reister (2008), Grenzsteuern, Arbeitsangebot und Wirtschaftswachstum, ZEW Wirtschaftsanalysen, Bd. 89, Baden-Baden.

Schröder, Michael, Marcus Kappler and Andreas Schrimpf (2008), Bewertung der Prognosegüte, in: Klaus-Jürgen Gern, Torsten Schmidt und Michael Schröder, Mittelfristige gesamtwirtschaftliche Prognosen, 1. Auflage, Ein internationaler Vergleich der Modelle und Prognosegüte, Weinheim, 175-304.

Kappler, Marcus (2007), Estimating and Forecasting Trend Output and Modelling Labor Input : Application of Panel Techniques and Factor Models, Frankfurt am Main. Download

Kappler, Marcus and Daniel Radowski (2003), Der Außenhandelskanal, in: Schröder, Michael und Peter Westerheide, Finanzmärkte, Unternehmen und Vertrauen. Neue Wege der internationalen Konjunkturübertragung, ZEW Wirtschaftsanalysen, Bd. 68, Baden-Baden, S. 173-198.

Discussion Papers and Working Papers

Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens, Nils Jannsen, Klaus-Jürgen Gern, Dominik Groll, Marcus Kappler, Stefan Kooths, Andreas Sachs and Joachim Scheide (2013), Mittelfristprojektion für Deutschland: Hochkonjunktur bei mäßigem Potenzialwachstum, Kieler Diskussionsbeitrag 520/521, Kiel. Download

Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens, Nils Jannsen, Klaus-Jürgen Gern, Marcus Kappler, Stefan Kooths, Andreas Sachs and Joachim Scheide (2012), Mittelfristprojektion für Deutschland: Potential wächst mit leicht steigender Tendenz, Kieler Diskussionsbeitrag 512/513, Kiel. Download

Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens , Klaus-Jürgen Gern, Marcus Kappler, Stefan Kooths, Andreas Sachs and Joachim Scheide (2012), Mittelfristprojektion für Deutschland: Schwaches Potentialwachstum, aber kräftige konjunkturelle Expansion, Kieler Diskussionsbeitrag 504/505, Kiel. Download

van Aarle, Bas and Marcus Kappler (2011), Fiscal Adjustment in Greece: In Search for Sustainable Public Finances, ZEW Discussion Paper No. 11-080, Mannheim. Download

Kappler, Marcus, Helmut Reisen, Moritz Schularick and Edouard Turkisch (2011), The Macroeconomic Effects of Large Exchange Rate Appreciations, ZEW Discussion Paper No. 11-016, Mannheim. Download

Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens, Klaus-Jürgen Gern, Marcus Kappler, Stefan Kooths, Andreas Sachs and Joachim Scheide (2011), Mittelfristprojektion für Deutschland: Mäßiges Potentialwachstum und Hochkonjunktur im Wartestand, Kiel. Download

Kappler, Marcus, Helmut Reisen, Moritz Schularick and Edouard Turkisch (2011), The Macroeconomic Effects of Large Currency Appreciations, OECD Development Centre Working Paper No. 296, Paris. Download

Boss, Alfred, Dominik Groll, Marcus Kappler, Stefan Kooths, Andreas Sachs and Joachim Scheide (2011), Mittelfristprojektion für Deutschland: Potentialwachstum bleibt moderat – Kapazitäten bleiben angespannt, Kieler Diskussionsbeiträge Nr. 490/491, Kiel. Download

Hogrefe, Jan and Marcus Kappler (2010), The Labour Share of Income: Heterogeneous Causes for Parallel Movements?, ZEW Discussion Paper No. 10-024, Mannheim. Download

Seymen, Atilim and Marcus Kappler (2009), The Role of Structural Common and Country-Specific Shocks in the Business Cycle Dynamics of the G7 Countries , ZEW Discussion Paper No. 09-015, Mannheim. Download

Kappler, Marcus (2007), Projecting the Medium-Term: Outcomes and Errors for GDP Growth, ZEW Discussion Paper No. 07-068, Mannheim. Download

Ager, Philipp, Marcus Kappler and Steffen Osterloh (2007), The Accuracy and Efficiency of the Consensus Forecasts: A Further Application and Extension of the Pooled Approach, ZEW Discussion Paper No. 07-058, Mannheim. Download

Kappler, Marcus (2006), Panel Tests for Unit Roots in Hours Worked, ZEW Discussion Paper No. 06-022, Mannheim. Download

Kappler, Marcus (2006), Wie genau sind die Konjunkturprognosen der Institute für Deutschland?, ZEW Discussion Paper No. 06-004, Mannheim. Download

Kappler, Marcus (2004), Determination of Potential Growth Using Panel Techniques, ZEW Discussion Paper No. 04-69, Mannheim. Download

Kappler, Marcus and Peter Westerheide (2003), Aktienmärkte und Beschäftigung. Eine Analyse aus makro- und mikroökonomischer Perspektive, Deutsche Börse Research Paper, Frankfurt a. M. Download

Expertises

Schleer, Frauke, Leonhard Brinster and Marcus Kappler (2013), Eine Auswertung der Prognosegüte des ZEW-Konjunkturtableaus für Deutschland, Mannheim. Download

Kappler, Marcus, Jan Hogrefe, Steffen Osterloh, Andreas Sachs, Atilim Seymen and Martin Scheffel (2012), Study on Demographics and the Future of EU Structural Funding, Federal Ministry of the Interior, Berlin. Download

Bonin, Holger, Dominik Groll, Marcus Kappler, Stefan Kooths and Andreas Sachs (2012), Forschungsbericht: Konjunkturimpulse durch Fachkräftesicherung, Bundesministerium für Arbeit und Soziales, Berlin. Download

Kappler, Marcus, Jan Hogrefe, Steffen Osterloh, Andreas Sachs, Atilim Seymen and Martin Scheffel (2012), Studie zum Thema Demografie und zukünftige EU-Strukturfondsförderung, Bundesministerium des Inneren, Berlin. Download

Busl, Claudia, Zwetelina Iliewa, Sabine Jokisch, Marcus Kappler, Thomas Roscher, Felix Schindler and Frauke Schleer (2012), Sparen und Investieren vor dem Hintergrund des demografischen Wandels, Bundesministerium der Finanzen, Berlin. Download

Kappler, Marcus, Tim-Alexander Kröncke, Felix Schindler, Frauke Schleer, Atilim Seymen and Peter Westerheide (2011), Housing Markets and Intra-Euro Area Macroeconomic Imbalances: Identifying Policy Instruments, European Commission - Directorate General for Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), Mannheim.

Kappler, Marcus, Holger Bonin and Andreas Sachs (2011), Forschungsbericht: Wertschöpfungseffekte der Fachkräftesicherung, Mannheim. Download

Aretz, Bodo, Claudia Busl, Nicole Gürtzgen, Jan Hogrefe, Marcus Kappler, Susanne Steffes and Peter Westerheide (2009), Ursachenanalyse der Verschiebung in der funktionalen Einkommensverteilung in Deutschland, Mannheim. Download

Franz, Wolfgang, Alisher Aldashev, Marcus Kappler and Atilim Seymen (2009), Analyse und Schätzung der strukturellen Arbeitslosigkeit in Deutschland zur Verbesserung der methodischen Grundlagen für die Berechnung des strukturellen Defizits und die Tragfähigkeitsanalysen, Bundesministerium der Finanzen, Berlin.

Heinemann, Friedrich, Andreas Ammermüller, Jürgen Egeln, Marcus Kappler, Margit Kraus, Hendrik Lambrecht, Georg Licht, Christian Rammer, Klaus Rennings and Tobias Schmidt (2004), Eignung von Strukturindikatoren als Instrument zur Bewertung der ökonomischen Performance der EU-Mitgliedstaaten, Mannheim. Download

Heinemann, Friedrich, Andreas Ammermüller, Marcus Kappler, Margit Kraus, Hendrik Lambrecht, Georg Licht, Christian Rammer, Klaus Rennings and Tobias Schmidt (2004), The Suitability of Structural Indicators for the Assessment of EU Countries' Economic Performance with a Particular Focus on Economic Reforms, An Evaluation of EU Structural Indicators and Options for Improvement, Bundesministerium der Finanzen, Mannheim. Download

Organisation of academic conferences and workshops

Dr. Marcus Kappler, Willi Semmler (New School University New York), Timo Teräsvirta (Aarhus University and CREATES), Peter Winker (Universität Gießen), Frauke Schleer,
Workshop, SEEK Workshop on Non-Linear Economic Modelling: Theory and Applications,
ZEW Mannheim, Germany, 2012

Dr. Marcus Kappler, Claudia Busl, Dr. Jan Hogrefe, Dr. Atilim Seymen, Dr. Andreas Sachs, Frauke Schleer,
Conference, 3rd Conference on Recent Developments in Macroeconomics,
ZEW Mannheim, Germany, 2012

Dr. Atilim Seymen, Dr. Marcus Kappler, Claudia Busl,
ZEW Summer Workshop, 13th ZEW Summer Workshop on "International Business Cycles",
ZEW Mannheim, Germany, 2011