The analysis of short-term macroeconomic relationships focuses on the following issues: Which shocks influence the business cycle? Which influences affect business cycles and how closely are business cycles of industrial nations synchronised? Which sectors are particular vulnerable to news shocks on future technological developments? How do international cross-holdings affect the economic association between countries? In order to answer these questions, advanced methods in time series econometrics and multi-country models are used. Moreover, the group evaluates external economic forecasts to gain new insights into their reliability and accuracy.
Back to top